NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	2.9 [1155]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +4.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	108		Comeback	1.0 [1258]		LVP	Vinny Del Negro (SAS): -12.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	10	85%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	78%	0.03	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	9	45%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	57%	-0.01	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	11	33%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	80%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	57%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	69%	0.06	3	-0.07	12	83%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	3	87%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	52.2	2.5	24.4	15.6	27.0	1.8	23.2	146.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +17.1%

SEA +12.3%

SEA +18.8%

SEA +0.3%

SEA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SEA	NBA	SAS	SEA	NBA
this game	16.8	14.0	15.6	93.6	116.1	104.4
season	16.8	14.9		100.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.4		100.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.3	16.6	17.4	16.9	16.8
SEA	12.0	14.0	14.5	15.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	16	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-13	6	15.6	17.0	-1.39	11.8	14.5	-2.75
Greg Anderson	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-11	2	17.3	15.9	1.37	14.8	12.7	2.17
Cory Alexander	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-12	4	15.9	18.0	-2.17	14.4	13.4	1.00
Carl Herrera	64	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-25	30	15.6	19.3	-3.66	14.5	13.0	1.47
Jamie Feick	24	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-2	-16	16.1	17.0	-0.93	11.4	14.8	-3.47
Vernon Maxwell	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.29	-20	0	-20	17.8	15.7	2.06	13.8	14.2	-0.45
Vinny Del Negro	76	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-11	2	16.9	16.4	0.41	14.6	11.9	2.66
Will Perdue	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-10	0	17.5	15.3	2.17	14.6	12.9	1.69
Avery Johnson	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.21	-24	4	-28	17.2	15.7	1.55	13.0	16.6	-3.62

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	57	57	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	-1	22	13.2	15.4	-2.20	18.1	14.8	3.29
Hersey Hawkins	59	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	4	12	13.4	15.1	-1.65	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Gary Payton	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	-1	22	13.5	15.2	-1.71	16.6	17.3	-0.78
Terry Cummings	40	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	7	6	13.3	14.5	-1.20	17.5	16.3	1.22
Larry Stewart	42	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	12	-4	14.1	13.9	0.20	16.7	16.8	-0.16
David Wingate	59	60	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	13	-6	14.2	13.6	0.62	16.4	17.4	-1.04
Greg Graham	47	47	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	13	-6	14.7	13.3	1.48	16.7	16.8	-0.06
Jim McIlvaine	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	16	-12	14.8	13.4	1.35	16.7	16.8	-0.09
Sam Perkins	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.16	7	13	-6	14.7	13.5	1.17	15.7	17.6	-1.83
Eric Snow	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	16.1	13.6	2.51	15.9	17.0	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 74, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
VAN 82, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NOK 79, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%