inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 96 Excitement5.4 [708] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +20.1%
Dallas Mavericks 83 Comeback3.7 [272] LVPMalik Rose (SAS): -15.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.090.07-0.042360%0.262-0.052100%0.02
Stephen Jackson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00967%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.02954%0.0100.00683%0.00
Steven Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.020.021965%0.137-0.161471%-0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02325%-0.021-0.0320%0.00
Speedy Claxton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0230%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
David Robinson-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.01629%-0.042-0.052100%0.01
Malik Rose-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.01-0.011010%-0.131-0.0200%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.021064%0.0710.00250%-0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01-0.041550%0.072-0.05250%-0.01
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.020.011146%-0.001-0.022100%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001242%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01956%0.034-0.0900%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0250%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.01-0.012037%-0.013-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.73.628.320.426.43.435.6143.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +11.4%
SAS +16.9%
SAS +31.4%
DAL -12.0%
SAS +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game15.514.215.597.087.4101.6
season15.715.1102.5108.6
opponent15.315.4102.096.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.415.813.116.715.5
DAL14.814.214.613.214.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker79750.77-0.271.03-0.1130-174714.917.7-2.8014.413.31.08
Tim Duncan86830.72-0.220.95-0.1831-184915.117.7-2.5614.810.04.81
Bruce Bowen88860.56-0.060.62-0.0922-93115.018.9-3.8714.313.30.96
Stephen Jackson50490.350.150.20-0.0614-11514.816.1-1.3414.913.41.53
David Robinson49490.190.31-0.12-0.191301314.116.8-2.7814.214.2-0.08
Malik Rose53490.130.37-0.240.19-215-1716.414.42.0514.513.80.68
Manu Ginobili52490.090.41-0.32-0.0349-516.114.81.2514.314.00.30
Steven Smith430.000.50-0.500.21-720-2720.515.35.255.714.5-8.81
Steve Kerr430.000.50-0.500.21-720-2720.515.35.255.714.5-8.81
Danny Ferry440.000.50-0.500.21-720-2720.515.35.2511.014.3-3.34
Kevin Willis65-0.040.54-0.580.22-922-3120.015.24.833.814.8-10.98
Speedy Claxton2020-0.270.77-1.030.23-1730-4717.714.92.8013.314.4-1.08

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera34330.15-0.650.80-0.1410-233312.215.3-3.0615.015.7-0.70
Adrian Griffin440.00-0.500.50-0.217-202711.014.3-3.3420.515.35.25
Tariq Abdul-Wahad440.00-0.500.50-0.217-202711.014.3-3.3420.515.35.25
Walt Williams1212-0.05-0.450.410.04-3-10710.214.8-4.6215.415.5-0.05
Shawn Bradley78-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-131315.014.10.8615.215.5-0.23
Steve Nash7477-0.33-0.17-0.150.08-141-1514.015.0-1.0315.017.1-2.15
Raja Bell5455-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.15-7-6-114.314.10.1815.315.7-0.39
Nick Van Exel6670-0.38-0.12-0.250.03-141-1514.613.41.1815.415.6-0.17
Michael Finley8589-0.46-0.04-0.420.07-185-2314.313.50.7815.415.7-0.26
Dirk Nowitzki7882-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-152-1714.811.43.4015.415.9-0.58
Raef LaFrentz5761-0.540.04-0.58-0.01-185-2315.412.43.0516.114.51.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 105, CHA 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,092.9%
PHX 113, DEN 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.61,0.58,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,092.3%
IND 103, LAC 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,092.1%