NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	5.9 [644]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +28.6%
Charlotte Hornets	97		Comeback	6.0 [393]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -17.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29	0.24	0.09	0.04	15	87%	0.36	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.07	-0.06	17	59%	0.26	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.11	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.08	0.01	12	46%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Allen Crabbe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.19	-0.03	-0.05	18	21%	-0.16	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.01	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	20	53%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	19	37%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.04	0.04	16	61%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.7	26.5	14.7	29.3	2.3	26.6	126.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.2%

POR +6.0%

POR +6.9%

CHA -1.6%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.1	110.5	104.3	104.2
season	15.3	15.6		106.5	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	15.6	13.9	16.1	15.2
CHA	13.7	15.7	18.2	14.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.15	13	-5	18	15.1	15.4	-0.34	16.2	13.6	2.60
Nicolas Batum	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	0	8	15.4	14.5	0.96	15.9	14.2	1.65
Wesley Matthews	71	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	14.6	16.9	-2.27	15.4	15.5	-0.08
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.22	5	3	2	15.6	14.2	1.41	15.5	15.4	0.13
Chris Kaman	36	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	5	-2	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Steve Blake	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	7	-6	15.7	14.8	0.99	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Joel Freeland	25	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	3	2	14.6	15.4	-0.73	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Robin Lopez	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	15.3	15.0	0.33	15.8	14.9	0.87
Allen Crabbe	34	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	14	-20	15.4	15.1	0.32	14.1	16.2	-2.13

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-12	16	14.3	15.9	-1.55	14.7	15.4	-0.67
Lance Stephenson	47	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	-3	-2	15.1	15.9	-0.81	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Marvin Williams	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-3	-2	14.3	15.8	-1.56	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Cody Zeller	56	56	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-12	16	15.6	15.3	0.23	16.3	13.5	2.83
Brian Roberts	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-11	14	15.4	15.5	-0.11	15.7	14.1	1.59
Kemba Walker	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-4	0	15.5	15.5	-0.05	15.2	15.2	-0.06
Jason Maxiell	15	16	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	16.9	15.2	1.67	12.5	15.7	-3.22
PJ Hairston	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	15.7	15.3	0.46	14.9	15.4	-0.44
Gerald Henderson	60	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	3	-14	15.6	15.1	0.53	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Al Jefferson	67	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	4	-16	15.9	14.3	1.55	15.4	14.7	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0	92.9%
SAS 96, DAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
UTA 109, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.4%