NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	7.1 [429]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +37.5%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	4.0 [602]		LVP	Steve Blake (DEN): -15.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.38	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.25	0.13	0.01	17	78%	0.46	3	-0.09	12	83%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.09	0.16	0.01	16	62%	0.29	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.03	10	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	11	73%	0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.06	0.04	19	64%	0.18	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.05	13	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	0.04	27	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.7	29.3	15.6	24.2	2.3	39.5	140.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.9%

PHX +10.4%

DEN -18.0%

PHX +10.5%

PHX +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	13.4	15.5	15.4	114.1	108.0	104.5
season	13.8	14.0		112.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	16.0		104.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	14.1	13.6	12.5	13.4
DEN	15.7	16.5	15.7	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	88	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-4	13	13.7	11.6	2.03	15.1	18.3	-3.24
Amar'e Stoudemire	86	87	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	13.6	12.7	0.87	15.4	15.8	-0.32
Leandro Barbosa	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	4	-3	13.3	13.7	-0.43	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Shawn Marion	74	73	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-5	15	13.8	12.3	1.50	14.8	17.3	-2.42
Boris Diaw	79	81	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	13.7	12.5	1.12	15.2	16.6	-1.34
Marcus Banks	36	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	1	3	11.3	14.7	-3.40	17.3	14.4	2.87
James Jones	31	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	3	-1	12.5	13.9	-1.35	18.0	14.3	3.70
Steve Nash	33	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	13	-21	14.7	12.8	1.83	14.4	16.0	-1.64

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	43	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.33	9	-14	23	15.7	15.4	0.28	13.4	13.5	-0.15
Reggie Evans	44	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-3	1	17.6	13.8	3.75	12.8	13.9	-1.17
DerMarr Johnson	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-1	-3	18.1	14.4	3.73	11.4	14.3	-2.86
J.R. Smith	62	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-10	15	15.7	15.2	0.49	13.1	13.9	-0.77
Carmelo Anthony	83	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-4	3	15.0	17.8	-2.74	14.0	10.5	3.51
Steve Blake	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	14.8	18.8	-4.02	13.6	12.6	1.03
Eduardo Najera	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	8	-21	15.0	16.1	-1.13	14.1	12.6	1.45
Yakhouba Diawara	34	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	8	-21	14.4	16.1	-1.72	13.1	13.6	-0.59
Nene	67	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	15.1	16.3	-1.17	13.8	12.7	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.61,0.58,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.1%
SAC 94, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.16,0	92.7%
OKC 120, SAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.02,0	92.4%