NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	2.6 [1205]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +20.7%
San Antonio Spurs	114		Comeback	1.0 [817]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	7	93%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	14	69%	0.06	3	-0.05	11	64%	-0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	9	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	18%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	13	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.02	0.01	24	47%	-0.07	5	-0.09	10	70%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.31	0.01	0.11	12	112%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	7	79%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	77%	0.05	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.6	32.0	19.6	32.4	3.5	29.5	145.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.1%

SAS +1.1%

SAS +3.1%

SAS +5.6%

SAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	15.5	97.9	116.3	101.6
season	15.4	15.7		105.0	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		96.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	14.3	17.0	12.8	15.0
SAS	14.1	13.4	14.3	16.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.35	13	-32	45	13.1	15.7	-2.61	15.4	14.2	1.19
Jannero Pargo	45	46	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.28	10	-29	39	14.0	15.8	-1.81	14.8	14.3	0.52
Samaki Walker	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	10.8	15.8	-4.98	17.4	14.0	3.43
Kareem Rush	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.42	13	-32	45	13.8	15.9	-2.06	15.3	13.9	1.41
Mark Madsen	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-14	9	14.5	15.1	-0.68	13.1	15.1	-1.97
Shaquille O'Neal	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.32	-25	6	-31	16.0	13.0	3.03	14.2	15.2	-1.02
Brian Shaw	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	4	-27	15.5	14.0	1.54	14.6	14.4	0.20
Kobe Bryant	82	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	3	-25	15.3	13.0	2.33	14.3	16.2	-1.93
Derek Fisher	57	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.50	-35	16	-51	15.5	14.2	1.27	14.1	15.2	-1.07
Robert Horry	62	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.26	-27	8	-35	16.0	13.1	2.90	14.4	14.9	-0.53

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	65	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.47	36	-17	53	14.2	15.4	-1.19	15.5	13.9	1.59
Tim Duncan	65	66	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.41	32	-13	45	14.4	15.0	-0.60	15.8	13.2	2.66
Tony Parker	55	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.39	30	-11	41	14.1	15.2	-1.14	16.1	13.6	2.53
Manu Ginobili	52	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	2	15	13.2	16.2	-3.02	14.7	15.2	-0.51
David Robinson	35	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	7	5	14.2	14.8	-0.62	17.0	13.9	3.12
Malik Rose	36	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	22	-25	16.1	13.7	2.35	13.7	15.8	-2.11
Stephen Jackson	57	57	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	27	-35	15.2	13.7	1.44	16.5	12.8	3.73
Kevin Willis	27	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	13	-7	13.8	14.9	-1.10	12.9	15.7	-2.81
Danny Ferry	35	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.32	-10	29	-39	14.4	14.7	-0.22	13.8	15.6	-1.76
Speedy Claxton	34	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	20	-21	14.6	14.5	0.12	14.3	15.4	-1.11
Steven Smith	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	17.4	14.0	3.43	10.8	15.8	-4.98
Steve Kerr	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	29	-39	18.0	14.0	3.95	9.7	15.7	-5.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIN 85, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NYK 68, VAN 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%