NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Excitement	2.9 [1199]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +14.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	1.2 [1288]		LVP	Kevin Ollie (MIN): -5.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Randy Foye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	16	53%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.08	13	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	15%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	14	73%	0.17	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	14	66%	0.13	5	-0.04	10	70%	-0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	68%	0.05	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	86%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	29.2	15.0	30.2	2.5	26.4	130.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.5%

CLE +14.1%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +7.3%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	17.2	16.1	15.5	97.7	124.4	106.4
season	15.8	16.9		104.3	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.1		101.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.4	16.3	17.6	17.4	17.2
CLE	17.8	17.2	14.4	15.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Brown	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-22	22	13.4	17.5	-4.07	12.6	16.5	-3.85
Craig Smith	33	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-18	14	17.7	16.9	0.85	17.0	15.6	1.41
Mike Miller	46	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-17	12	17.7	16.6	1.16	17.2	14.8	2.41
Rodney Carney	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-12	2	17.0	17.3	-0.23	15.4	16.6	-1.26
Kevin Ollie	38	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-13	4	17.4	17.0	0.49	16.8	15.6	1.19
Sebastian Telfair	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-9	-4	17.0	17.4	-0.49	15.6	16.8	-1.19
Brian Cardinal	44	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-7	-8	16.8	17.5	-0.67	16.3	16.0	0.28
Randy Foye	53	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-10	-2	17.3	17.0	0.23	16.6	15.4	1.26
Jason Collins	34	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-7	-8	17.2	17.2	0.05	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Kevin Love	47	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	-9	-4	17.2	17.1	0.13	16.0	16.2	-0.22
Ryan Gomes	50	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-8	-6	17.1	17.3	-0.26	15.5	17.0	-1.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	64	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.28	26	-4	30	15.4	18.3	-2.96	17.3	16.9	0.35
LeBron James	60	62	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.26	25	-3	28	16.0	16.5	-0.49	17.4	16.7	0.63
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.34	27	-5	32	15.7	16.5	-0.79	18.1	16.2	1.85
Anderson Varejao	52	54	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.29	25	-3	28	16.8	15.1	1.70	17.6	16.5	1.16
Sasha Pavlovic	46	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	19	-16	15.2	17.2	-2.07	16.0	18.6	-2.60
Mo Williams	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	13	-4	17.5	13.7	3.76	17.6	16.4	1.21
Daniel Gibson	40	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.12	7	15	-8	15.5	16.6	-1.11	17.3	17.1	0.15
Joe Smith	34	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	27	-32	17.7	15.1	2.58	17.5	17.0	0.47
Darnell Jackson	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	25	-28	16.5	16.0	0.49	16.7	17.4	-0.63
JJ Hickson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	12.6	16.5	-3.85	13.4	17.5	-4.07
Tarence Kinsey	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	15.7	16.1	-0.47	5.0	17.5	-12.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 97, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NOH 82, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%