NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	3.6 [1051]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +15.7%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	1.0 [1029]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -10.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	11	72%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	12	71%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	15	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	20	41%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	21	35%	-0.05	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.03	-0.04	14	70%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.24	0.00	0.13	7	110%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	18	54%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.26	-0.00	-0.16	16	12%	-0.07	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.0	15.8	29.1	2.3	26.6	129.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +53.2%

GSW +0.6%

PHI -12.0%

GSW +6.8%

GSW +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.4	99.0	119.0	105.7
season	15.2	13.5		104.0	109.8
opponent	15.1	16.2		107.9	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.2
GSW	11.1	13.2	14.3	17.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	23.0	15.1	7.94	12.7	13.9	-1.25
Shavlik Randolph	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	23.0	15.1	7.94	12.7	13.9	-1.25
Reggie Evans	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-17	12	16.4	14.3	2.07	13.9	13.9	-0.03
Lou Williams	52	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-12	2	15.4	15.0	0.38	14.1	13.6	0.46
Rodney Carney	52	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-11	0	15.1	15.4	-0.27	15.1	12.5	2.54
Thaddeus Young	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-10	-2	13.8	16.8	-2.94	14.0	13.7	0.34
Samuel Dalembert	55	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-9	-4	14.7	15.8	-1.09	11.9	16.6	-4.70
Andre Miller	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.15	-18	-4	-14	15.9	13.0	2.96	13.7	14.5	-0.85
Andre Iguodala	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-6	-10	15.3	14.6	0.72	14.1	12.9	1.21
Willie Green	76	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	-3	-16	14.6	17.4	-2.76	14.4	12.2	2.16

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-1	24	13.7	14.6	-0.82	15.9	12.1	3.76
Monta Ellis	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	10	2	13.8	14.1	-0.21	14.8	17.2	-2.35
Baron Davis	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	10	2	13.9	13.7	0.20	14.9	16.6	-1.79
Matt Barnes	46	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	19	-16	14.6	13.3	1.27	14.4	15.9	-1.48
Brandan Wright	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	10	2	12.6	14.7	-2.09	15.7	14.9	0.86
Mickael Pietrus	46	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	9	4	14.5	13.4	1.11	15.6	14.9	0.62
Chris Webber	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	14	-6	13.3	14.3	-1.02	14.6	15.6	-1.05
Al Harrington	40	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	15	-8	12.7	14.7	-2.01	15.7	14.9	0.75
Austin Croshere	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	10	2	15.6	13.3	2.29	15.4	15.2	0.20
Patrick O'Bryant	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	22	-22	2.0	14.0	-12.00	0.0	15.2	-15.22
Kelenna Azubuike	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.13	5	17	-12	16.6	13.3	3.26	15.0	15.3	-0.28
CJ Watson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	12.7	13.9	-1.25	23.0	15.1	7.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NOH 82, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
BKN 95, ATL 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%