NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	2.6 [1197]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +17.8%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.0 [1150]		LVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): -10.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	4	58%	0.01	2	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	7	14%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ike Austin	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	33%	-0.07	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tracy Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	6%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	17	77%	0.21	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.00	0.02	17	77%	0.16	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	90%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	3	67%	0.03	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	6	17%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	25.2	14.8	24.2	1.8	27.1	117.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +53.0%

PHX +6.8%

PHX +2.8%

WAS -12.7%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.2	91.4	106.5	101.7
season	15.5	14.8		101.1	101.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		96.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	16.3	15.0	13.7	15.4
PHX	13.9	18.0	15.6	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-23	32	9.9	16.1	-6.16	18.2	15.3	2.95
Reggie Jordan	42	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.33	10	-24	34	15.0	15.7	-0.73	16.4	14.9	1.51
Jahidi White	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-19	24	13.3	16.5	-3.18	14.9	15.9	-1.01
Gerard King	34	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-21	28	15.4	15.4	0.02	17.4	14.4	3.01
Chris Whitney	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-16	18	14.8	15.7	-0.88	15.3	15.7	-0.33
Tracy Murray	29	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-8	2	16.7	14.8	1.83	16.4	15.2	1.23
Aaron Williams	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-3	-8	16.2	14.7	1.47	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Michael Smith	39	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	0	-14	14.9	15.7	-0.82	14.6	16.2	-1.52
Juwan Howard	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	3	-20	15.7	14.9	0.82	14.7	16.9	-2.24
Ike Austin	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	1	-16	16.7	14.5	2.26	16.4	15.0	1.44
Rod Strickland	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.21	-21	7	-28	16.2	14.4	1.79	15.4	15.8	-0.45
Mitch Richmond	61	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	5	-24	15.3	15.6	-0.30	15.3	16.2	-0.88

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	76	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-8	30	15.2	17.2	-2.04	15.4	15.4	0.05
Rex Chapman	49	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	-13	40	15.6	15.5	0.05	17.2	13.3	3.90
Tom Gugliotta	65	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	-1	16	15.6	15.5	0.15	15.7	14.7	0.93
Jason Kidd	57	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.25	20	-6	26	15.2	16.1	-0.93	17.3	12.7	4.54
Mark West	40	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	7	0	16.5	14.8	1.68	16.0	14.9	1.03
Oliver Miller	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	8	-2	15.0	16.2	-1.15	15.2	15.6	-0.49
Randy Livingston	36	38	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	20	-26	16.1	15.2	0.93	12.7	17.3	-4.54
Rodney Rogers	51	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.33	-8	22	-30	15.8	15.2	0.61	14.8	16.1	-1.36
Todd Day	25	25	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	19	-24	15.4	15.6	-0.18	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Toby Bailey	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	22	-30	15.7	15.5	0.14	11.1	16.4	-5.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DAL 103, NOH 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
POR 90, PHX 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%