NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	5.7 [649]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +14.0%
New Jersey Nets	104		Comeback	2.0 [832]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -25.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	13	68%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	17	65%	0.08	6	-0.20	15	87%	0.04
Antoine Walker	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.24	-0.05	-0.04	15	22%	-0.17	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.04	-0.02	12	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	18	60%	0.15	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	79%	0.11	6	-0.13	9	100%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	15	41%	-0.04	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	35.5	18.7	26.0	3.6	39.5	154.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +26.0%

NJN +6.3%

NJN +3.3%

NJN +15.3%

BOS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.4	13.4	15.5	95.0	104.0	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		99.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		96.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	16.2	15.7	13.9	15.4
NJN	14.2	14.4	11.6	13.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	46	48	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.12	10	-19	29	16.2	14.6	1.55	14.9	12.1	2.88
J.R. Bremer	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.9	15.2	0.72	12.9	13.6	-0.74
Mark Blount	27	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	16.1	15.1	1.08	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Tony Delk	77	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-8	7	15.2	15.9	-0.72	13.6	12.9	0.74
Paul Pierce	95	96	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-7	5	15.0	22.0	-6.99	13.5	11.5	2.02
Antoine Walker	95	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	-2	-5	15.3	16.2	-0.88	13.0	19.8	-6.80
Walter McCarty	78	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	2	-13	15.8	13.9	1.92	13.3	14.0	-0.76
Eric Williams	59	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	7	-23	14.4	16.7	-2.28	13.1	13.8	-0.68

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	88	89	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.10	27	-18	45	12.6	19.7	-7.08	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Jason Collins	63	65	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-8	25	11.9	16.1	-4.15	15.8	14.5	1.30
Kerry Kittles	68	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-5	19	12.7	15.0	-2.29	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Jason Kidd	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-4	17	12.4	18.4	-5.92	15.1	16.5	-1.34
Kenyon Martin	91	91	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	9	-9	13.1	16.6	-3.42	14.9	19.8	-4.85
Anthony Johnson	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	13	-17	18.4	12.4	5.92	16.5	15.1	1.34
Lucious Harris	36	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	13	-17	13.9	13.2	0.66	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Rodney Rogers	22	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	18	-27	18.8	11.9	6.84	16.9	15.0	1.90
Aaron Williams	32	31	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	18	-27	17.1	11.7	5.37	15.6	15.3	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.2%
GSW 101, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
SEA 103, LAL 119	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%