NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	9.7 [82]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +45.2%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	15.9 [71]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -30.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	4	90%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	58%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	11	55%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	11	52%	0.02	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	13	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31	-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	29	45%	-0.08	5	-0.23	11	55%	-0.08

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.44,0.41,0.45	0.45	0.08	0.37	-0.00	13	67%	0.47	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.17	0.00	4	110%	0.32	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	15	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	5	14%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.06
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.15	0.02	13	50%	-0.13	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.05
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27	-0.27	-0.05	-0.21	0.00	18	53%	-0.06	4	-0.21	7	71%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	3.7	33.4	18.7	37.2	3.5	39.3	1.8	18.2	180.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +73.5%

PHI -1.4%

PHI -33.1%

DET +11.1%

PHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	17.8	15.5	102.1	109.5	101.6
season	15.3	16.8		102.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.7	16.9	15.0	14.6	17.1	15.6
DET	14.3	20.1	19.3	16.7	22.5	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	75	74	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-9	11	16.1	13.9	2.19	18.1	17.0	1.08
Eric Snow	63	65	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-6	5	15.6	15.6	0.01	18.3	16.9	1.38
John Salmons	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	6.0	15.8	-9.84	9.0	17.9	-8.94
Tyrone Hill	29	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	15.1	15.8	-0.71	15.8	18.6	-2.77
Greg Buckner	35	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	1	-9	14.6	16.2	-1.68	17.0	18.2	-1.25
Allen Iverson	89	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-7	7	15.4	18.7	-3.24	17.9	17.4	0.47
Aaron McKie	58	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	1	-9	15.9	15.2	0.68	17.5	18.4	-0.92
Derrick Coleman	74	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-4	1	15.7	15.2	0.51	18.5	14.9	3.58
Keith Van Horn	43	48	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	1	-9	16.1	15.2	0.84	17.2	18.5	-1.28

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	69	70	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-6	19	17.4	18.9	-1.44	15.5	16.0	-0.45
Richard Hamilton	84	85	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	18.0	16.5	1.47	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Chucky Atkins	79	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	18.1	16.4	1.69	16.0	14.2	1.74
Mehmet Okur	33	33	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-2	11	17.6	18.0	-0.32	15.9	15.5	0.47
Jon Barry	18	19	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	1	5	16.1	18.2	-2.14	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Ben Wallace	78	76	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	18.2	16.1	2.17	16.3	12.8	3.55
Corliss Williamson	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	9	-11	18.2	17.8	0.42	15.7	15.6	0.08
Michael Curry	27	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	11	-15	18.2	17.7	0.48	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Clifford Robinson	70	72	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.02	-11	18	-29	17.1	19.9	-2.82	15.0	17.7	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.28,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.97,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	90.0%
NOH 94, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.92,1	89.6%
ORL 115, MIN 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.95,0.96,1	89.5%