NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	115		Excitement	11.4 [35]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +29.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Comeback	11.1 [187]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -57.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.09,0.02,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.01	22	58%	0.12	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.14
Maurice Harkless	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	14	44%	0.09	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.04
Nikola Vucevic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.06	-0.07	0.04	15	61%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.05
E'Twaun Moore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	11	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27	-0.04	-0.22	0.00	17	50%	-0.10	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.19	0.00	19	57%	0.38	1	-0.09	16	75%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.11	0.00	7	71%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.11	0.02	19	49%	0.16	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.08
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	33%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.13	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	48%	0.15	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.45,-0.57,-0.57,-0.57,-0.58,-0.58	-0.58	-0.10	-0.47	0.01	15	41%	-0.31	4	-0.26	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	28.5	15.3	27.3	1.8	35.3	2.4	17.7	157.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -0.3%

MIN +45.1%

MIN +21.9%

ORL -25.6%

MIN +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	15.1	100.9	107.1	105.2
season	15.3	14.6		100.4	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.0		104.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	14.4	13.4	14.3	13.8	12.2	13.8
MIN	13.3	13.7	14.5	16.2	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-9	13	14.1	13.7	0.41	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Maurice Harkless	43	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.2	1.50	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Nikola Vucevic	95	96	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-13	21	13.9	13.6	0.27	14.7	12.2	2.51
Jason Maxiell	39	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	4	-13	14.0	13.7	0.29	13.8	14.6	-0.83
Kyle O'Quinn	7	5	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	3	-11	13.7	13.8	-0.10	9.8	14.6	-4.75
Arron Afflalo	89	89	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-9	13	13.4	15.4	-1.99	14.1	15.1	-0.94
E'Twaun Moore	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	2	-9	14.2	13.6	0.57	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Jameer Nelson	88	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	13.9	13.5	0.45	14.7	13.0	1.69
Solomon Jones	47	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	0	-5	13.3	14.1	-0.79	14.9	13.9	0.99
Victor Oladipo	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.5	14.5	-1.05	14.3	14.4	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	86	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-4	13	14.1	15.1	-1.01	13.6	14.5	-0.85
Kevin Martin	91	94	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	2	1	14.3	14.4	-0.05	13.6	14.5	-0.90
Corey Brewer	86	86	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	14.1	15.2	-1.11	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Ricky Rubio	87	86	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	6	-7	14.3	14.6	-0.28	13.4	15.0	-1.53
Ronny Turiaf	31	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	0	5	14.7	14.2	0.47	14.9	13.4	1.57
Jose Juan Barea	40	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	1	3	15.0	14.0	0.99	14.7	13.3	1.36
Alexey Shved	32	34	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	2	1	14.4	14.3	0.14	14.8	13.4	1.45
Nikola Pekovic	65	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	0	5	14.3	14.4	-0.04	13.4	14.4	-1.05
Dante Cunningham	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.38	-9	14	-23	14.6	14.2	0.41	14.0	13.7	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.92,1	90.6%
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	90.2%
PHI 97, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.28,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.97,0.9,1	89.5%