NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	82		Excitement	3.5 [1080]		MVP	Malik Rose (SAS): +5.5%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	1.0 [1212]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -18.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	16	48%	-0.00	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	20	47%	-0.02	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	52%	-0.02	4	-0.07	7	29%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.01	18	34%	-0.10	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	61%	0.09	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	13	59%	0.06	5	-0.09	13	85%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	9	35%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	3.4	28.6	19.3	31.0	3.0	39.3	154.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.4%

SAS +6.4%

SAS +10.3%

PHX -1.9%

SAS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	15.5	84.5	94.9	101.6
season	15.0	15.7		101.1	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		96.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.6	16.9	12.0	12.7	14.4
SAS	13.4	15.1	15.1	16.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	35	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.32	12	-24	36	14.4	14.5	-0.10	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Scott Williams	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-4	-4	16.4	14.1	2.25	16.8	14.7	2.18
Casey Jacobsen	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-11	10	13.7	14.8	-1.09	15.9	14.4	1.52
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-11	10	13.9	16.2	-2.34	16.0	11.6	4.44
Joe Johnson	30	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	2	-16	13.8	14.7	-0.96	10.5	17.0	-6.50
Anfernee Hardaway	71	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	14.8	13.5	1.22	16.3	11.0	5.30
Jake Voskuhl	39	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.17	-19	7	-26	15.3	13.8	1.51	12.9	16.4	-3.49
Stephon Marbury	93	95	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	0	-12	14.5	13.0	1.49	14.9	17.0	-2.14
Shawn Marion	94	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	-2	-8	14.4	15.0	-0.59	14.9	17.2	-2.40

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	60	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-2	16	14.2	16.1	-1.86	15.4	12.9	2.48
Manu Ginobili	61	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	-4	20	13.6	17.1	-3.54	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Tim Duncan	82	81	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	4	4	15.1	14.1	1.08	13.8	17.5	-3.67
Speedy Claxton	52	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-5	22	13.1	17.0	-3.90	14.5	14.3	0.22
Stephen Jackson	36	36	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	-2	16	15.8	14.5	1.35	16.1	13.4	2.67
Bruce Bowen	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	6	0	14.9	15.1	-0.26	14.3	14.7	-0.47
Tony Parker	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	15	-18	15.6	14.2	1.36	13.7	15.2	-1.47
David Robinson	51	50	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	12	-12	16.7	13.0	3.70	14.9	14.0	0.88
Steven Smith	35	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.36	-12	24	-36	16.6	14.0	2.55	13.5	14.9	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 75, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
WAS 77, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DEN 90, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%