inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 77 Excitement3.7 [1062] MVPJames Posey (MEM): +8.2%
Memphis Grizzlies 92 Comeback1.0 [1214] LVPKwame Brown (WAS): -10.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Laettner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.000.021077%0.083-0.052100%0.01
Juan Dixon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.001055%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.01545%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Steve Blake-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.04875%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03933%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01530%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03617%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01243%-0.023-0.06333%-0.02
Larry Hughes-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.031339%-0.071-0.021283%0.01
Etan Thomas-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.01-0.0520%-0.044-0.0620%-0.01
Kwame Brown-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.19-0.00-0.081112%-0.082-0.03250%-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.001075%0.112-0.0300%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.00-0.031159%0.062-0.0100%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.06633%0.0100.00333%-0.01
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.02-0.041346%0.043-0.0400%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01756%-0.001-0.02450%-0.01
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02847%-0.022-0.02333%-0.02
Earl Watson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.130.00-0.071135%-0.023-0.03475%-0.01
Pau Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.130.00-0.061644%-0.024-0.05771%0.01
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.00-0.02714%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game514.82.626.516.425.62.432.5620.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +22.9%
MEM +0.1%
MEM +8.0%
MEM +16.9%
MEM +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMEMNBAWASMEMNBA
this game15.114.815.779.495.8100.5
season15.215.396.4102.3
opponent15.715.3100.5102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.118.614.212.515.1
MEM13.917.415.213.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Whitney3434-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-11716.314.41.8915.114.50.57
Larry Hughes6565-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-12914.616.1-1.4514.215.9-1.75
Kwame Brown6159-0.18-0.320.14-0.00-6-9313.917.2-3.3013.916.2-2.30
Steve Blake4343-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-5-10514.815.3-0.5414.315.1-0.77
Brevin Knight2525-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-9315.015.1-0.1815.614.51.15
Etan Thomas3937-0.21-0.290.07-0.15-2-131114.215.7-1.5715.914.01.95
Brendan Haywood4342-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-9316.813.73.1315.214.40.74
Jared Jeffries3938-0.24-0.260.01-0.16-3-12915.714.70.9616.813.43.46
Jarvis Hayes6363-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-12-3-914.915.5-0.6313.517.2-3.75
Juan Dixon4243-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-3-915.015.2-0.2514.315.2-0.90
Christian Laettner3131-0.37-0.13-0.250.09-161-1716.414.51.8515.914.21.66

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey65640.340.160.180.0796314.714.9-0.2315.414.50.83
Lorenzen Wright54540.330.170.160.1378-115.813.42.4816.713.13.59
Bonzi Wells51510.290.210.090.1269-315.913.42.5415.714.41.25
Earl Watson72740.280.220.05-0.05114713.917.2-3.3314.118.3-4.27
Pau Gasol67690.250.250.000.0287114.315.7-1.4014.217.3-3.13
Bo Outlaw29280.250.25-0.000.0478-115.714.31.4017.314.23.13
Shane Battier48500.210.29-0.08-0.11114713.416.1-2.7913.217.1-3.82
Mike Miller44440.200.30-0.100.26-217-1916.313.42.9416.813.73.07
Dahntay Jones880.180.32-0.13-0.11105514.914.70.1420.714.66.17
Stromile Swift42430.170.33-0.16-0.0787113.415.8-2.4813.116.7-3.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 82, SAS 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,196.3%
PHX 103, CLE 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
CHA 75, WAS 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%