NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	12.0 [15]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): +47.9%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	33.5 [24]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -32.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.08,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,0.48	-0.12	0.58	-0.02	28	41%	0.64	2	-0.16	8	87%	0.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28	0.06	0.22	0.00	13	75%	0.45	4	-0.17	6	83%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	19	53%	-0.10	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.24	-0.04	-0.21	-0.01	11	46%	-0.07	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	8	90%	0.29	2	-0.23	4	50%	-0.09
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	46%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	17	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.12
Kevin Willis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	20%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.16,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	12	53%	-0.07	3	-0.06	8	37%	-0.13
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.01	13	22%	-0.24	1	-0.08	6	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.9	3.6	40.2	17.7	30.0	3.3	43.2	1.8	21.2	186.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +70.3%

PHX +6.8%

SAS -36.8%

SAS -0.9%

PHX +10.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.5	95.0	95.0	101.6
season	15.0	15.7		101.1	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		96.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	16.5	16.1	15.9	15.4	12.0	15.5
SAS	15.6	17.4	17.7	14.6	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	3	3	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.82	7	-6	13	6.3	15.8	-9.43	2.7	16.6	-13.91
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	75	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-6	13	15.5	15.4	0.11	16.3	15.9	0.37
Shawn Marion	101	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.5	0.0	15.49	16.2	0.0	16.16
Stephon Marbury	101	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.5	0.0	15.49	16.2	0.0	16.16
Joe Johnson	62	62	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	-3	7	15.5	15.5	-0.00	15.5	17.2	-1.61
Tom Gugliotta	1	1	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-2	5	0.0	15.6	-15.64	14.0	16.2	-2.18
Anfernee Hardaway	90	85	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.39	11	-10	21	15.6	14.9	0.65	17.0	11.3	5.76
Scott Williams	24	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	5	-9	18.2	14.6	3.57	18.0	15.7	2.30
Jake Voskuhl	13	14	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.05	-14	15	-29	15.8	15.4	0.41	14.9	16.4	-1.51
Bo Outlaw	24	28	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.02	-12	13	-25	15.7	15.4	0.35	15.6	16.4	-0.77

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	27	26	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-3	5	14.6	16.7	-2.15	13.3	16.2	-2.93
Kevin Willis	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-2	3	15.0	16.2	-1.17	22.0	15.4	6.58
Bruce Bowen	39	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	16.9	15.7	1.25	15.8	15.3	0.47
Malik Rose	53	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	4	-9	16.7	15.5	1.19	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Tim Duncan	87	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-4	7	16.0	16.9	-0.88	15.4	15.9	-0.43
David Robinson	58	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.51	2	-3	5	16.1	16.3	-0.26	15.9	14.9	0.95
Manu Ginobili	76	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	15.8	17.2	-1.43	14.6	18.1	-3.49
Tony Parker	73	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.52	-3	2	-5	16.7	14.6	2.15	16.2	13.3	2.93
Stephen Jackson	86	87	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.55	-4	3	-7	16.0	17.3	-1.31	16.0	12.6	3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.67,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 116, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.63,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.73,0	89.4%
MIA 130, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,0	87.7%
TOR 122, MIL 117	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.73,0	87.6%