inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 116 Excitement13.1 [7] MVPTom Gugliotta (MIN): +99.3%
Houston Rockets 115 Comeback10.5 [79] LVPStephon Marbury (MIN): -24.6%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta0.990,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.990.150.850.012661%0.9900.00250%0.02
Terry Porter0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.180.050.13-0.00972%0.392-0.2100%0.00
Kevin Garnett0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.12,0.12-0.010.11-0.021555%0.193-0.081100%0.01
Reggie Jordan0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00275%0.0400.00450%-0.04
Doug West0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cherokee Parks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,00.08-0.080.00877%0.161-0.16683%0.06
Sam Mitchell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.00337%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Chris Carr-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02517%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Stanley Roberts-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00337%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Stephon Marbury-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,-0.05,-0.14,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.11-0.15-0.021845%-0.054-0.20850%-0.17

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Willis0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.060.22-0.012453%0.2900.00333%-0.01
Eddie Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.45,0.230.230.110.12-0.001769%0.322-0.0910%-0.03
Charles Barkley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,0.170.17-0.010.15-0.031664%0.365-0.201385%0.02
Matt Bullard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.014100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Rodrick Rhodes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.03-0.00367%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Emanual Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02233%-0.0310.002100%0.02
Brent Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.0010%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Matt Maloney0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.140.06-0.190.011271%0.143-0.2900%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.10-0.02729%0.012-0.1700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.52.024.216.423.41.535.31.521.9150.8
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.01.618.4157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +51.8%
MIN +31.9%
HOU -31.8%
MIN +16.6%
HOU -18.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINHOUNBAMINHOUNBA
this game14.317.815.6118.4115.0102.5
season14.815.7105.3104.5
opponent15.215.7105.7104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN15.114.812.714.015.814.3
HOU16.217.220.018.815.817.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Mitchell37381.13-0.631.760.7513-122514.414.20.2218.617.31.36
Terry Porter56560.98-0.481.470.5216-153114.014.7-0.6917.817.8-0.01
Tom Gugliotta88890.410.090.330.47-23-514.512.52.0017.718.4-0.64
Kevin Garnett79810.360.140.210.50-56-1113.915.9-1.9817.618.6-1.04
Stephon Marbury79810.330.170.170.48-56-1114.214.5-0.2917.220.3-3.05
Reggie Jordan21220.140.36-0.22-0.046-51114.814.20.5920.217.13.12
Doug West99-0.010.51-0.52-0.0101-111.914.5-2.6518.817.71.09
Cherokee Parks6465-0.010.51-0.53-0.4013-122513.815.1-1.3017.817.8-0.02
Stanley Roberts2627-0.380.88-1.270.08-1617-3315.713.81.9017.417.9-0.47
Chris Carr3132-0.440.94-1.39-0.00-1516-3115.413.81.5517.318.0-0.70

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Maloney63630.22-0.720.94-0.0710-112117.119.0-1.9613.615.5-1.94
Emanual Davis88-0.01-0.490.480.02-10-120.517.62.9514.514.30.22
Matt Bullard3938-0.18-0.320.14-0.6215-163116.818.4-1.5915.213.71.41
Mario Elie7471-0.23-0.270.03-0.5611-122316.521.3-4.8114.214.7-0.51
Brent Price2625-0.24-0.260.020.08-1110-2120.716.83.9713.514.6-1.10
Othella Harrington3133-0.25-0.250.000.04-109-1920.416.63.7214.414.20.19
Rodrick Rhodes1818-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-1110-2120.917.13.8516.513.82.70
Kevin Willis9088-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.424-5917.520.6-3.1214.214.8-0.56
Eddie Johnson6262-0.35-0.15-0.200.09-1514-2918.516.71.7414.114.7-0.59
Charles Barkley7975-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.514-5917.120.2-3.1014.314.30.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.63,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 96, SAS 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.67,0.73,089.4%
TOR 122, MIL 1170.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.73,088.9%
DET 79, NYK 780.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.74,088.4%