NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	122		Excitement	12.2 [12]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (TOR): +46.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	117		Comeback	25.7 [16]		LVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): -37.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.57,0.46	0.03	0.42	-0.00	11	60%	0.50	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.05
Jerome Williams	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.11	0.04	9	79%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Nate Huffman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	19	49%	-0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.08
Morris Peterson	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.00	-0.15	0.01	15	55%	-0.12	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.39,-0.39,-0.45,-0.54,-0.54,-0.29	-0.07	-0.21	0.00	18	46%	0.05	3	-0.34	5	80%	0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.43,0.43,0.42	0.42	0.09	0.31	-0.02	27	61%	0.51	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.10
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	15	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	13	57%	0.03	3	-0.12	11	91%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.37	-0.37	-0.01	-0.35	0.02	10	50%	-0.29	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	24.2	15.8	27.3	2.4	33.4	1.5	20.7	153.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.0%

TOR +8.7%

MIL -0.3%

MIL -8.0%

TOR +12.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.9	15.5	120.8	117.0	101.6
season	16.2	15.4		98.8	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.3		106.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	17.0	17.3	19.3	16.8	11.0	16.7
MIL	14.3	16.1	13.5	16.7	13.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	45	46	1.41	-0.91	2.33	0.89	18	-13	31	15.2	18.0	-2.82	14.2	15.5	-1.29
Nate Huffman	44	40	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.50	14	-9	23	16.9	16.6	0.25	14.9	14.8	0.10
Voshon Lenard	86	84	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.37	13	-8	21	16.4	18.6	-2.18	14.7	16.1	-1.47
Alvin Williams	85	85	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	5	-5	16.8	16.6	0.21	15.3	12.4	2.93
Michael Bradley	25	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	5	-5	17.7	16.4	1.25	16.8	14.2	2.64
Jerome Williams	74	70	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	0	5	16.4	17.8	-1.46	14.4	16.1	-1.68
Morris Peterson	91	89	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	11	-17	16.8	16.0	0.82	14.2	20.5	-6.25
Jermaine Jackson	6	6	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	21.2	16.5	4.70	19.8	14.6	5.26
Jelani McCoy	55	58	-0.58	1.08	-1.65	-0.20	-13	18	-31	17.2	16.2	1.08	15.1	14.6	0.55

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	34	35	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.20	1	-6	7	15.5	14.6	0.88	16.8	16.7	0.09
Dan Gadzuric	40	41	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-12	19	15.1	14.7	0.39	18.4	15.6	2.86
Michael Redd	66	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-5	5	14.0	16.6	-2.53	15.8	18.7	-2.92
Jason Caffey	23	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	18.3	13.9	4.38	17.4	16.6	0.81
Kevin Ollie	46	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-3	1	14.9	14.9	-0.04	17.4	16.2	1.15
Ray Allen	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-7	9	15.7	12.4	3.32	17.1	15.6	1.47
Sam Cassell	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	9	-23	14.2	16.7	-2.43	15.9	19.2	-3.30
Tim Thomas	58	59	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.53	-3	-2	-1	14.1	16.0	-2.00	17.1	16.3	0.74
Anthony Mason	85	86	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	7	-19	14.7	15.9	-1.15	16.4	18.7	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 130, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,0	89.2%
MIN 116, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.63,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.73,0	88.9%
LAC 104, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.38,0.54,0.69,0.91,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.41,0	88.3%