NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	6.6 [481]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.6%
New Jersey Nets	107		Comeback	2.5 [297]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -21.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.01	16	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.02
Devean George	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	86%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	100%	0.10	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	20	61%	0.08	3	-0.07	16	62%	-0.03
Mitch Richmond	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.05	13	73%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	28	56%	0.10	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.10	0.02	14	43%	-0.05	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	550.2	2.4	29.4	18.8	26.2	3.4	36.2	666.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +50.1%

LAL +4.6%

NJN -11.6%

LAL +4.1%

LAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.6	122.8	115.1	102.3
season	15.3	14.7		106.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.4		98.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.7	17.0	16.0	15.5	16.0
NJN	14.4	16.5	16.7	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	82	82	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-5	16	16.3	13.9	2.37	15.6	11.6	3.96
Rick Fox	64	65	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-7	20	15.1	18.1	-3.06	15.2	14.9	0.34
Kobe Bryant	85	87	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	0	6	16.0	16.4	-0.45	14.8	20.5	-5.74
Derek Fisher	67	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	5	-4	16.3	15.3	1.00	15.5	14.1	1.41
Brian Shaw	28	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	-2	10	16.0	16.0	0.04	16.3	14.7	1.59
Mitch Richmond	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	9	-12	12.0	16.2	-4.19	7.3	15.4	-8.06
Robert Horry	57	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	11	-16	16.6	15.0	1.68	15.8	13.9	1.84
Devean George	37	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	4	-2	17.0	15.4	1.61	15.2	15.1	0.06
Samaki Walker	10	11	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	11	-16	13.9	16.3	-2.37	11.6	15.6	-3.96

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	41	43	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-11	16	13.5	16.4	-2.85	16.2	15.9	0.29
Donny Marshall	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	8.5	15.3	-6.77	13.5	16.1	-2.57
Anthony Johnson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	8.5	15.3	-6.77	13.5	16.1	-2.57
Jason Collins	33	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-9	12	14.3	15.6	-1.23	17.4	15.1	2.38
Todd MacCulloch	40	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-6	6	15.2	15.0	0.21	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Aaron Williams	20	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	3	-12	16.2	14.8	1.36	14.1	16.5	-2.36
Jason Kidd	82	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	15.2	14.6	0.56	16.4	13.4	3.01
Kenyon Martin	82	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	15.2	14.6	0.56	16.4	13.4	3.01
Lucious Harris	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-2	-2	14.7	15.7	-1.00	16.0	16.1	-0.12
Kerry Kittles	46	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	5	-16	15.8	14.5	1.29	15.5	16.5	-0.94
Keith Van Horn	61	58	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.15	-20	14	-34	16.3	12.8	3.48	15.5	16.9	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0,0	91.9%
HOU 98, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	91.8%
BKN 111, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	91.7%