NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	6.1 [590]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +15.0%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	1.9 [314]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -11.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.02	12	62%	0.19	3	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.02	13	54%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.01	16	67%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	3	80%	0.16	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Chris Kaman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	8	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boniface N'Dong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	12	47%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	16	58%	0.09	2	-0.06	11	100%	0.05
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	17	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	14	30%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.2	16.4	25.9	0.8	35.5	134.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.2%

LAC +12.8%

HOU -14.6%

LAC +6.3%

HOU -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	17.1	15.6	104.2	97.8	104.4
season	15.2	16.1		103.9	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.5		101.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	11.0	14.5	14.6	13.6
HOU	14.6	16.9	17.5	19.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	56	55	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-8	24	12.7	14.8	-2.10	18.1	15.6	2.47
Shaun Livingston	57	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-5	18	12.7	15.0	-2.27	17.5	16.4	1.18
Elton Brand	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	-1	10	14.2	10.9	3.25	16.9	18.1	-1.27
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	60	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.04	18	-10	28	12.4	16.0	-3.61	15.8	19.3	-3.42
Sam Cassell	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	4	0	14.4	12.1	2.28	17.0	17.2	-0.24
Chris Kaman	41	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	12	-16	14.3	13.1	1.29	20.0	14.8	5.19
Cuttino Mobley	78	75	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	9	-10	13.4	14.5	-1.05	16.6	18.9	-2.33
Boniface N'Dong	8	7	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	12	-16	15.6	13.4	2.20	12.6	17.4	-4.86
Quinton Ross	32	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	16	-24	15.7	12.6	3.08	15.7	17.8	-2.08
James Singleton	1	1	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	11	-14	0.0	13.8	-13.76	19.0	17.0	1.96

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	61	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-12	16	17.8	15.7	2.10	14.3	12.3	2.00
Ryan Bowen	4	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-2	-4	18.2	17.0	1.24	10.3	13.9	-3.59
Richie Frahm	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.00	-3	-5	2	15.1	17.3	-2.20	8.1	14.3	-6.16
Charles Hayes	13	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	2	-12	17.5	17.0	0.55	14.7	13.4	1.25
Rafer Alston	80	83	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-6	4	16.6	20.0	-3.41	14.1	9.9	4.23
Stromile Swift	33	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-1	-6	16.4	17.4	-1.04	13.9	13.5	0.46
Rick Brunson	14	13	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	0	-8	20.2	16.5	3.71	10.0	14.2	-4.18
Luther Head	85	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-6	4	17.0	18.0	-1.02	14.0	9.7	4.36
Yao Ming	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-5	2	17.1	16.8	0.29	13.2	15.0	-1.76
Keith Bogans	90	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-5	2	16.9	22.3	-5.44	13.7	12.6	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	93.6%
BOS 105, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0,0	93.0%
TOR 107, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.8%