NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	7.7 [282]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +20.1%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	2.4 [575]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -31.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	23	49%	0.02	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	16	41%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	7	37%	-0.03	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	18	50%	-0.00	5	-0.18	8	75%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.13	0.00	13	70%	0.25	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	5	83%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	74%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	6	62%	0.08	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.06
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.32	-0.32	-0.25	-0.10	-0.03	14	29%	-0.17	6	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	282.8	2.4	27.5	15.5	29.5	2.7	31.2	391.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +55.5%

NJN +13.9%

CHH -17.5%

CHH -3.4%

NJN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	15.6	98.9	106.5	102.3
season	15.9	14.7		102.2	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.6	13.8	19.9	17.1	16.4
NJN	12.6	15.0	14.4	15.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	35	34	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-9	12	14.9	17.4	-2.52	14.6	14.2	0.41
Robert Traylor	33	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.10	-2	-4	2	19.3	14.9	4.37	15.0	14.0	0.94
George Lynch	68	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-3	0	16.0	17.5	-1.47	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Elden Campbell	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-9	12	15.7	17.9	-2.22	14.4	14.3	0.05
Stacey Augmon	41	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-6	6	16.2	16.6	-0.38	15.2	13.7	1.55
Baron Davis	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	0	-6	16.6	14.6	1.98	14.4	13.9	0.54
David Wesley	72	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.36	-10	4	-14	16.2	17.1	-0.85	14.2	15.0	-0.79
P.J. Brown	74	73	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.40	-15	9	-24	17.1	14.1	2.90	13.8	16.3	-2.48

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	73	74	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-4	14	13.9	16.0	-2.10	16.7	15.5	1.13
Jason Kidd	73	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-4	14	13.9	16.0	-2.10	16.9	15.0	1.91
Lucious Harris	49	49	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-2	10	15.0	13.6	1.45	15.6	17.4	-1.85
Aaron Williams	43	44	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-1	8	14.8	13.9	0.90	15.8	17.0	-1.16
Keith Van Horn	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	1	4	14.6	14.0	0.60	17.3	15.2	2.19
Todd MacCulloch	43	43	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	4	-2	13.4	15.1	-1.70	17.5	15.5	1.98
Richard Jefferson	44	45	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	6	-6	14.3	14.4	-0.16	15.2	17.6	-2.37
Kerry Kittles	44	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	8	-10	13.6	15.0	-1.45	17.4	15.6	1.85
Anthony Johnson	20	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	10	-14	16.0	13.9	2.10	15.0	16.9	-1.91
Jason Collins	21	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	12	-18	16.3	13.8	2.56	15.0	16.9	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.55,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 120, DEN 127	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.31,0.46,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	90.8%
WAS 84, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.37,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.91,0.92,1	90.8%
NOK 93, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.31,0.41,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.99,1	90.6%