NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	93		Excitement	7.4 [372]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +22.0%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	2.8 [598]		LVP	Michael Sweetney (CHI): -17.2%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linton Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	9	56%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	45%	0.08	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	48%	0.07	4	-0.12	7	71%	0.00
David West	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	3	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	7	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	9	50%	-0.00	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	12	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	17	69%	0.25	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.00	19	63%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.05	16	61%	0.21	4	-0.20	4	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.16	7	-0.19	6	100%	0.04
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	3	30%	-0.07	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	31.3	15.8	24.1	2.7	32.0	132.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +75.2%

NOK -7.9%

NOK -1.0%

NOK -20.9%

CHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	CHI	NBA	NOK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.4	94.9	106.1	104.5
season	16.0	14.5		102.8	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	13.0	14.1	15.2	16.2	14.6
CHI	14.7	16.6	14.8	13.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linton Johnson	29	29	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.00	7	-18	25	11.9	15.7	-3.84	15.9	14.3	1.63
Jannero Pargo	22	22	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.02	6	-17	23	13.3	15.0	-1.71	15.3	14.6	0.63
Bobby Jackson	47	47	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-10	9	13.7	15.5	-1.81	15.4	14.2	1.27
Marc Jackson	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-12	13	15.0	14.4	0.59	15.0	14.7	0.34
Rasual Butler	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-10	9	15.4	14.3	1.11	15.3	14.6	0.71
Desmond Mason	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-6	1	14.6	14.5	0.08	15.3	13.8	1.48
Tyson Chandler	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	1	-13	14.4	15.0	-0.59	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Devin Brown	55	56	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.17	-15	4	-19	15.0	14.1	0.87	13.4	16.6	-3.17
Chris Paul	76	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.20	-17	6	-23	15.0	13.3	1.71	14.6	15.3	-0.63
David West	69	69	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.18	-18	7	-25	15.7	11.9	3.84	14.3	15.9	-1.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	72	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-5	21	14.4	15.9	-1.55	15.3	12.7	2.55
Kirk Hinrich	69	70	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-5	21	13.8	17.2	-3.44	15.7	11.8	3.94
Luol Deng	86	85	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.06	19	-8	27	14.8	14.7	0.14	14.9	12.5	2.38
Adrian Griffin	28	27	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	2	7	14.5	14.9	-0.40	16.3	13.9	2.39
Ben Wallace	78	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	6	-1	14.6	15.5	-0.96	15.1	12.8	2.26
Michael Sweetney	27	25	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	4	3	15.9	14.4	1.57	15.0	14.5	0.53
Viktor Khryapa	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	7.5	14.9	-7.44	9.0	14.7	-5.72
Malik Allen	15	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	15	-19	15.2	14.7	0.49	10.9	15.3	-4.33
Thabo Sefolosha	15	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	19	-27	15.8	14.6	1.20	11.7	15.2	-3.48
Tyrus Thomas	50	52	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.27	3	8	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.38	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Chris Duhon	48	48	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	18	-25	16.7	12.9	3.81	12.7	16.4	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.31,0.41,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.95,1	91.9%
WAS 84, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.37,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.91,0.92,1	91.2%
MEM 86, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.48,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.91,0.85,1	91.1%