NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	120		Excitement	7.9 [274]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): +28.3%
Denver Nuggets	127		Comeback	3.4 [615]		LVP	Gary Harris (DEN): -10.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.12	0.17	0.01	19	60%	0.32	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.02
TJ Warren	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	16	62%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.01	10	55%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	11	77%	0.16	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.00	17	60%	0.07	5	-0.16	6	83%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.14	0.01	21	60%	0.29	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	-0.00	7	94%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.02	16	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	12	75%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	71%	0.14	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	53%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	11	59%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	9	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	24.1	0.7	42.1	2.4	35.0	131.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -14.9%

DEN +30.7%

DEN +41.6%

PHX -5.7%

PHX -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	14.8	123.7	130.9	107.7
season	13.9	14.4		105.4	111.6
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.2	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.9	16.5	12.8	14.8	14.6
DEN	16.4	15.6	12.0	17.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	33	33	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.02	14	-21	35	17.0	13.4	3.64	16.1	14.6	1.56
Leandro Barbosa	18	18	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.04	11	-18	29	14.9	14.5	0.36	15.9	14.9	1.05
Marquese Chriss	17	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-9	11	13.6	14.8	-1.15	13.9	15.4	-1.48
Alan Williams	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	14.5	14.6	-0.10	8.0	15.2	-7.24
TJ Warren	84	84	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-10	13	14.5	15.0	-0.46	15.1	14.8	0.28
Brandon Knight	58	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-9	11	15.8	12.9	2.89	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Alex Len	21	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	2	-11	13.8	14.8	-1.07	17.0	14.6	2.49
PJ Tucker	77	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	2	-11	15.1	12.6	2.52	15.1	15.1	-0.07
Tyson Chandler	50	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	6	-19	13.0	16.3	-3.34	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Eric Bledsoe	57	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.24	-15	8	-23	14.0	15.4	-1.45	15.1	15.1	-0.10
Devin Booker	68	68	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.31	-19	12	-31	14.0	15.9	-1.85	14.8	15.9	-1.10

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	73	74	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.29	21	-14	35	14.2	17.7	-3.42	14.8	14.1	0.67
Danilo Gallinari	72	72	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.25	16	-9	25	14.8	15.9	-1.11	14.3	15.4	-1.03
Jameer Nelson	84	85	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-8	23	15.0	15.6	-0.60	14.7	13.7	1.06
Gary Harris	60	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	1	5	14.9	15.3	-0.37	13.0	17.3	-4.26
Wilson Chandler	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	8	-9	15.8	14.0	1.81	15.1	13.7	1.39
Kenneth Faried	45	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	5	-3	14.4	15.7	-1.21	14.5	14.7	-0.14
Will Barton	49	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	14	-21	15.4	14.7	0.68	16.2	13.0	3.19
Jamal Murray	13	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	15	-23	15.6	15.0	0.60	13.7	14.7	-1.06
Darrell Arthur	29	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	16	-25	17.2	14.2	3.06	14.5	14.6	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.31,0.46,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.9,0.95,0.83,1	91.9%
TOR 94, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	91.3%
WAS 106, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.76,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	91.1%