NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	8.9 [122]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +24.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	4.3 [324]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -21.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	60%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0.09,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	72%	0.31	3	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13	0.07	-0.18	0.02	20	64%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.19	-0.02	-0.16	0.01	20	59%	-0.03	5	-0.16	9	89%	0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0,0.04,0.19,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.17	0.00	23	64%	0.36	3	-0.12	20	95%	0.23
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.16	-0.01	9	69%	0.24	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.02	0.01	14	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	1	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	10	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	9	28%	-0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	281.7	2.8	31.3	18.7	35.2	2.8	42.0	414.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -21.4%

PHI +25.8%

PHI +0.9%

PHI +43.5%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.6	110.8	117.4	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		100.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		98.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.8	11.8	15.9	15.3	14.8
PHI	17.5	16.5	16.1	15.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	42	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-7	9	14.5	15.1	-0.55	17.7	15.2	2.53
Erick Strickland	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-6	7	14.1	15.0	-0.86	15.6	16.5	-0.86
Tony Battie	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.24	-13	8	-21	15.7	14.3	1.42	15.8	16.7	-0.88
Tony Delk	6	5	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	4	-13	16.2	14.7	1.43	13.4	16.5	-3.08
Kenny Anderson	68	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-7	9	14.9	14.8	0.09	16.5	15.6	0.89
Rodney Rogers	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.58	7	-12	19	14.2	15.9	-1.62	16.4	16.1	0.31
Antoine Walker	92	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	14.9	11.0	3.87	16.5	10.0	6.46
Paul Pierce	92	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	14.9	11.0	3.87	16.5	10.0	6.46
Walter McCarty	51	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	2	-9	15.1	14.5	0.55	15.2	17.7	-2.53

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	59	58	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.50	6	-1	7	15.1	18.5	-3.34	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Allen Iverson	84	85	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	16.4	15.4	1.03	15.3	10.1	5.15
Derrick Coleman	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	5	-5	16.7	15.1	1.55	15.3	13.4	1.90
Eric Snow	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	6	-7	16.7	15.3	1.35	15.8	12.1	3.64
Corie Blount	44	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.50	-6	11	-17	17.1	15.6	1.57	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Speedy Claxton	23	24	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	1	3	14.7	16.9	-2.22	12.1	15.8	-3.70
Matt Harpring	40	43	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.23	10	-5	15	17.1	15.7	1.34	15.3	14.4	0.97
Raja Bell	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	0.0	16.3	-16.32	1.0	15.0	-13.98
Alvin Jones	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	0.0	16.3	-16.32	1.0	15.0	-13.98
Vonteego Cummings	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	0.0	16.3	-16.32	1.0	15.0	-13.98
Derrick McKey	15	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	10	-15	15.7	16.4	-0.70	12.9	15.1	-2.21
Dikembe Mutombo	56	58	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.27	7	-2	9	16.2	16.5	-0.26	14.8	14.9	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.28,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 84, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	90.5%
PHI 102, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.27,0.26,0.07,0.16,0.28,1	90.5%
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	89.8%