NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	8.9 [159]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +23.8%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	13.8 [144]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -19.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	10	82%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	18	52%	0.24	4	-0.16	4	75%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	25	54%	0.12	3	-0.08	18	72%	-0.10
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	5	85%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.05
Shavlik Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,0.24	0.24	-0.01	0.27	0.01	8	71%	0.47	6	-0.23	5	100%	0.06
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.23	0.01	17	52%	0.27	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.06
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	5	80%	0.16	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	17	61%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	5	20%	-0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	13	41%	-0.14	1	-0.05	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	28.3	15.6	29.8	1.7	37.3	142.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -23.2%

UTA +31.4%

UTA +40.1%

UTA +1.6%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.3	15.6	103.0	112.5	104.4
season	15.2	17.0		104.1	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	15.0	14.2	13.9	14.3
UTA	15.4	16.3	14.6	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	65	62	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-12	18	14.0	14.9	-0.94	16.4	13.2	3.14
Samuel Dalembert	67	64	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-10	14	13.9	15.2	-1.32	16.6	12.5	4.14
Steven Hunter	21	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-2	-2	16.1	13.8	2.29	12.0	16.2	-4.17
John Salmons	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-2	-2	15.1	14.0	1.06	13.7	15.8	-2.08
Kevin Ollie	26	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	7	-20	16.2	13.6	2.58	13.3	16.0	-2.68
Andre Iguodala	87	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-5	4	13.7	18.3	-4.60	15.1	16.7	-1.61
Chris Webber	84	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-4	2	14.0	15.8	-1.78	15.9	12.3	3.60
Shavlik Randolph	23	22	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	15.7	13.9	1.83	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Matt Barnes	5	8	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	14.0	14.3	-0.31	13.1	15.5	-2.33
Allen Iverson	91	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	-1	-4	14.1	16.5	-2.40	15.3	14.9	0.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	57	58	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.34	21	-15	36	13.7	17.6	-3.92	15.2	13.0	2.12
Milt Palacio	38	36	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	3	0	13.5	16.4	-2.96	13.2	14.9	-1.68
Gordan Giricek	70	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	6	-6	15.0	15.8	-0.80	13.3	16.7	-3.43
Mehmet Okur	78	83	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	6	-6	15.3	15.2	0.05	13.6	18.1	-4.57
Andrei Kirilenko	75	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	7	-8	15.9	12.9	3.02	13.9	15.5	-1.55
Keith McLeod	16	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	7	-8	16.3	15.0	1.26	15.2	14.1	1.14
Devin Brown	26	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.15	6	0	6	15.8	15.0	0.80	16.7	13.3	3.43
Greg Ostertag	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	6	-6	17.3	14.6	2.76	16.6	13.6	3.02
Jarron Collins	54	56	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	8	-10	15.1	15.5	-0.38	14.0	14.7	-0.67
Deron Williams	42	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.29	4	2	2	16.5	14.3	2.16	14.8	13.9	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.27,0.26,0.07,0.16,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	91.1%
BOS 103, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.28,0.43,0.42,1	90.5%
LAL 110, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.42,1	89.6%