NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	6.9 [409]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +24.9%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	1.6 [454]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -15.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	14	75%	0.29	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	6	64%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	12	69%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11	-0.17	0.03	-0.03	18	43%	0.02	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	62%	0.15	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.01	11	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.06
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	6	69%	0.09	5	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	11	48%	-0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	21	38%	-0.15	0	0.00	11	82%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	38.3	18.6	24.4	2.7	45.0	155.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +76.3%

TOR -13.3%

TOR -25.6%

NYK +14.4%

TOR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.1	17.4	15.5	111.5	104.7	100.9
season	16.4	15.8		99.2	103.7
opponent	15.4	16.1		101.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	15.5	16.7	17.3	16.1
TOR	17.1	17.2	20.3	15.3	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	72	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-3	14	15.7	17.9	-2.13	17.1	19.3	-2.25
Othella Harrington	49	49	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	1	6	16.2	15.9	0.28	17.3	17.6	-0.27
Latrell Sprewell	85	83	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	1	6	16.1	15.0	1.13	17.5	14.0	3.48
Charlie Ward	33	31	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	2	4	16.8	15.7	1.05	14.6	19.0	-4.44
Glen Rice	56	52	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	3	2	16.8	14.9	1.91	17.9	16.7	1.20
Allan Houston	81	80	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	7	-6	16.1	16.7	-0.60	17.5	16.4	1.06
Mark Jackson	58	57	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	5	-2	15.7	16.9	-1.14	18.8	14.6	4.16
Felton Spencer	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	8	-8	0.0	16.3	-16.29	21.0	17.4	3.64

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	18	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-10	12	16.4	17.7	-1.28	16.8	15.9	0.89
Dell Curry	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-10	12	15.4	18.1	-2.75	16.7	15.9	0.89
Jerome Williams	17	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	19.0	17.0	2.00	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Charles Oakley	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-4	0	17.3	17.8	-0.57	16.3	15.3	1.04
Chris Childs	68	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	0	-8	17.7	16.2	1.46	16.1	16.3	-0.24
Antonio Davis	69	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	2	-12	17.4	17.4	-0.05	15.8	17.9	-2.18
Vince Carter	84	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	0	-8	17.6	0.0	17.61	16.1	20.0	-3.94
Alvin Williams	80	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	2	-12	17.5	15.6	1.91	16.0	17.5	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.48,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0,0	93.5%
NJN 99, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.17,0	93.1%
SAS 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.02,0	92.6%