NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	6.2 [561]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +7.1%
Golden State Warriors	88		Comeback	1.9 [835]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -19.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	15	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.05	0.04	7	69%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Toby Bailey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	5	71%	0.03	4	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	54%	0.03	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	19	41%	-0.02	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	15	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	0.04	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	10	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00	5	-0.14	10	50%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	22	38%	-0.11	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	30.2	17.0	24.0	2.5	30.6	132.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +59.8%

GSW -1.7%

PHX +5.5%

GSW -15.9%

PHX +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	15.2	96.1	87.1	101.7
season	14.8	14.7		101.4	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.3		105.8	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	12.2	14.7	13.5	13.8
GSW	14.4	15.0	14.1	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	50	47	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-4	19	13.4	14.2	-0.83	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Clifford Robinson	85	84	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.05	20	-9	29	13.5	15.2	-1.67	15.4	9.8	5.57
Corie Blount	44	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	11	-11	14.1	13.5	0.57	14.1	14.7	-0.54
Anfernee Hardaway	69	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	5	1	13.9	13.6	0.30	15.2	12.9	2.28
Rodney Rogers	59	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	7	-3	14.3	13.1	1.17	14.9	13.9	0.98
Shawn Marion	59	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	3	5	13.1	14.7	-1.68	15.2	13.5	1.73
Toby Bailey	34	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	5	1	13.8	13.8	-0.03	12.9	15.2	-2.34
Luc Longley	64	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	3	5	13.6	14.0	-0.39	14.1	15.1	-1.07
Don MacLean	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	18	-25	15.4	13.5	1.82	7.1	15.6	-8.49
Randy Livingston	37	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	16	-21	14.5	13.4	1.09	14.7	14.3	0.45

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Davis	76	76	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-11	11	13.8	16.5	-2.74	14.4	12.1	2.32
Tim Young	14	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-13	15	11.1	15.0	-3.93	10.5	14.4	-3.89
Mookie Blaylock	64	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-8	5	15.6	12.5	3.02	13.4	14.3	-0.92
Bill Curley	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-2	-7	15.5	14.1	1.46	12.8	14.1	-1.26
Tony Farmer	70	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-11	11	14.3	14.8	-0.51	15.0	10.7	4.31
Adonal Foyle	79	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	14.8	13.1	1.74	14.0	13.2	0.79
Larry Hughes	91	93	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-1	-9	14.4	15.3	-0.94	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Sam Jacobson	36	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	3	-17	14.0	14.7	-0.71	12.2	14.7	-2.54
Vonteego Cummings	49	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	3	-17	14.6	14.3	0.23	14.3	13.3	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%
POR 112, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.33,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0	93.5%
DAL 94, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.4%