NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	7.4 [349]		MVP	Vinny Del Negro (MIL): +31.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.6 [662]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -17.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.00	10	68%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	18	64%	0.23	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	16	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	18	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Don Reid	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	12	33%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.12	0.20	-0.00	9	80%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.01	11	76%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	10	62%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	4	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	17	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	2	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	30.2	15.4	25.8	1.8	25.4	124.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.4%

MIL +3.3%

WAS -1.1%

MIL +5.2%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	15.2	114.1	118.3	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		101.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.8		105.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	19.9	15.9	13.6	16.5	16.4
MIL	12.8	16.8	14.1	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	17	17	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.14	8	-13	21	15.7	16.5	-0.80	20.2	13.6	6.67
Calvin Booth	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	15.2	16.5	-1.37	13.1	15.0	-1.95
Mitch Richmond	78	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-10	15	16.2	17.4	-1.26	14.5	16.3	-1.77
Don Reid	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-9	13	15.6	16.8	-1.22	16.6	13.7	2.84
Jahidi White	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	2	-9	18.1	15.6	2.43	12.1	15.9	-3.72
Juwan Howard	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	3	-11	16.9	15.1	1.82	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Richard Hamilton	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	15.4	18.5	-3.03	16.0	12.1	3.88
Gerard King	49	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	9	-23	17.0	15.7	1.33	13.4	16.4	-2.95
Tracy Murray	37	38	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	2	-9	16.6	16.2	0.49	15.1	14.6	0.50
Chris Whitney	77	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	6	-17	16.4	16.1	0.27	14.1	18.8	-4.71

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	61	59	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.52	13	-8	21	13.3	17.7	-4.38	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Robert Traylor	36	34	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	4	-3	13.9	15.4	-1.46	14.4	17.5	-3.13
Danny Manning	42	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	9	-13	17.2	12.8	4.43	16.2	16.5	-0.34
Rafer Alston	38	38	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.53	-7	12	-19	17.7	12.7	4.99	16.2	16.5	-0.25
Vinny Del Negro	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	5	-5	15.8	12.7	3.13	15.6	18.1	-2.55
Sam Cassell	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	-7	19	12.7	17.7	-4.99	16.5	16.2	0.25
Ray Allen	12	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	-2	9	12.4	15.1	-2.72	21.9	15.6	6.30
Ervin Johnson	15	15	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	-2	9	12.9	15.1	-2.21	21.2	15.4	5.78
Glenn Robinson	59	58	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	-1	7	13.4	17.1	-3.68	16.3	16.4	-0.13
Scott Williams	42	43	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	8	-11	16.2	13.6	2.61	16.2	16.5	-0.24
Tim Thomas	42	44	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.08	-7	12	-19	15.6	14.1	1.48	16.4	16.4	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.4,0.39,0.79,0.78,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.77,0.9,0.99,1	93.0%
CLE 100, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.78,0.89,0.92,1	91.6%
MIL 90, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.89,0.97,1,1	91.4%