NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	8.5 [186]		MVP	Eddie Jones (CHH): +55.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	106		Comeback	8.1 [93]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -39.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.56	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56	0.23	0.34	0.01	18	81%	0.57	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	16	57%	0.13	2	-0.09	10	80%	0.05
Baron Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	14	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Eddie Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.01	15	31%	-0.29	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.01	30	57%	0.27	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	4	10%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	13	53%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.39	-0.39	-0.07	-0.30	0.03	19	54%	-0.14	5	-0.25	10	90%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	19.8	2.4	30.2	10.8	23.4	1.5	33.4	1.3	17.5	140.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +36.7%

CHH +0.7%

MIL -7.2%

CHH +18.1%

CHH +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	15.2	105.8	102.9	101.7
season	14.9	14.9		101.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		105.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHH	15.8	15.2	17.0	17.3	17.7	16.4
MIL	12.5	16.1	17.3	14.0	10.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	83	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-4	11	16.4	16.7	-0.31	14.6	13.7	0.90
Eddie Jones	98	98	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-3	9	16.1	23.2	-7.10	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Anthony Mason	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	2	-1	16.7	15.3	1.42	14.1	15.9	-1.89
Derrick Coleman	86	86	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.47	-3	6	-9	16.6	15.6	1.03	14.0	16.8	-2.87
David Wesley	89	89	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.37	-1	4	-5	17.0	13.2	3.74	14.0	17.0	-2.98
Baron Davis	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	2	-1	15.8	16.6	-0.74	16.5	14.0	2.57
Eddie Robinson	35	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	0	3	16.2	16.6	-0.33	15.1	14.1	0.97
Chucky Brown	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	14.4	16.7	-2.27	15.4	14.3	1.11
Brad Miller	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	2	-1	16.1	16.5	-0.41	16.5	14.2	2.35

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	48	47	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.04	10	-13	23	13.9	14.9	-1.07	16.7	16.2	0.51
Sam Cassell	86	87	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.50	9	-12	21	14.5	13.8	0.72	16.7	14.9	1.79
Tim Thomas	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-6	9	13.8	15.2	-1.40	17.0	15.7	1.26
Darvin Ham	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	0	-3	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.0	17.7	-2.74
Rafer Alston	29	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	8	-19	14.6	14.4	0.22	16.5	16.4	0.10
Glenn Robinson	90	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	14.4	14.8	-0.39	16.8	14.2	2.62
Ray Allen	94	95	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.40	-6	3	-9	14.4	15.2	-0.87	16.1	20.9	-4.80
Ervin Johnson	62	63	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.34	-17	14	-31	15.4	13.0	2.33	16.5	16.3	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.36,0.41,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.2,0.28,0.43,0.09,0	88.5%
DAL 96, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.02,0	87.9%
IND 93, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.37,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.09,0	87.8%