inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 106 Excitement8.7 [163] MVPJerry Stackhouse (WAS): +24.3%
Washington Wizards 101 Comeback5.0 [513] LVPTyronn Lue (WAS): -14.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.12-0.010.10-0.021656%0.173-0.057100%0.03
Eduardo Najera0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.004100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.050.040.020.011957%0.122-0.07475%-0.00
Walt Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.01677%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Raja Bell0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.08-0.022358%0.205-0.254100%0.10
Nick Van Exel-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.09-0.031242%-0.023-0.13250%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.240.240.080.14-0.032257%0.2400.009100%0.04
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.10.100.040.06-0.001650%0.1000.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.01558%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Bobby Simmons00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.010.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Jordan0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.002656%0.206-0.252100%0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.00538%-0.062-0.06333%-0.01
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.150.01-0.150.011250%-0.121-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.42.728.218.725.13.436.32.512.8157.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +11.3%
DAL +22.3%
DAL +27.8%
WAS -17.3%
DAL +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALWASNBADALWASNBA
this game15.717.115.5109.3104.1101.6
season15.116.5108.6100.9
opponent15.515.3101.9102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL17.512.814.818.015.415.7
WAS15.317.821.215.414.617.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel65620.78-0.281.060.529-41316.015.20.7416.318.4-2.08
Shawn Bradley30310.67-0.170.830.3710-51515.215.9-0.6919.416.03.45
Dirk Nowitzki96950.50-0.000.510.3650515.623.0-7.3617.40.017.43
Steve Nash85860.400.100.300.2841315.219.7-4.5117.414.52.85
Walt Williams50480.330.170.160.0111-61715.416.0-0.6417.017.2-0.18
Michael Finley76750.250.25-0.000.51-914-2316.512.93.6415.821.5-5.79
Eduardo Najera4346-0.040.54-0.58-0.288-31115.216.1-0.9417.117.00.11
Raja Bell3032-0.180.68-0.86-0.12-27-915.215.9-0.7418.016.61.38
Raef LaFrentz1010-0.210.71-0.920.11-1116-2720.415.25.2315.317.3-1.98

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyronn Lue70690.15-0.650.81-0.088-132117.515.91.5915.416.4-0.91
Bobby Simmons110.00-0.500.500.000-552.017.2-15.2319.015.73.32
Charles Oakley3233-0.04-0.460.42-0.164-91315.118.0-2.9517.314.92.37
Bryon Russell2321-0.06-0.440.380.14-72-915.517.6-2.0913.716.3-2.55
Kwame Brown1010-0.09-0.410.310.14-83-1118.516.91.5913.915.9-2.02
Christian Laettner5859-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.30-1-4317.915.82.0515.815.60.13
Brendan Haywood4141-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.30-1-4318.216.21.9916.115.40.67
Juan Dixon5152-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-116-1716.617.6-0.9415.815.60.12
Michael Jordan9494-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.42-1-4317.115.31.7915.813.72.11
Jerry Stackhouse9595-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.39-3-2-117.38.58.7515.716.5-0.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.2,0.28,0.43,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 96, BKN 880.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.02,088.7%
CHH 109, MIL 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.36,0.41,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.04,0.02,088.5%
LAC 107, ORL 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.78,0.27,088.3%