NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	10.6 [40]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +33.4%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	4.0 [266]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -31.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.33	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.33	0.15	0.21	0.03	16	72%	0.48	3	-0.14	8	100%	0.09
Chauncey Billups	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.13	0.15	-0.02	11	72%	0.31	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.19,0.11	-0.03	0.13	-0.01	13	54%	0.22	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.06
Reggie Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Randy Foye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	12	35%	-0.03	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.38,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.18	0.00	15	65%	0.43	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.02	5	90%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	21	66%	0.24	4	-0.10	8	37%	-0.11
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	10	45%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.22,-0.37,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.03	-0.28	0.01	13	50%	-0.07	3	-0.24	4	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	28.1	15.8	27.1	2.4	38.3	2.5	19.2	160.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +14.7%

LAC +9.6%

LAC +11.7%

LAC +19.3%

ORL -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.3	15.6	113.8	107.4	102.8
season	16.2	16.2		106.0	102.8
opponent	15.8	15.7		103.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.1	17.6	17.0	18.7	16.8	17.3
ORL	15.2	18.4	18.1	14.0	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	2	2	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	0	5	13.0	17.4	-4.40	12.0	16.4	-4.44
Mo Williams	57	58	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	-1	7	18.0	16.3	1.67	15.5	17.7	-2.22
Caron Butler	67	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	-1	7	17.1	17.8	-0.66	17.1	14.8	2.31
Chris Paul	79	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	6	-7	16.9	19.6	-2.73	16.2	17.2	-1.02
Blake Griffin	81	80	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	8	-11	17.5	15.9	1.61	16.3	16.7	-0.38
Ryan Gomes	20	21	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	2	1	16.1	17.6	-1.47	12.8	17.4	-4.60
Chauncey Billups	55	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	-1	7	17.7	16.7	1.05	17.4	15.0	2.41
Randy Foye	12	13	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	3	-1	18.5	17.1	1.37	15.2	16.5	-1.38
DeAndre Jordan	57	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	7	-9	16.1	19.1	-3.01	16.6	15.8	0.82
Reggie Evans	40	41	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.36	3	2	1	18.6	16.3	2.29	17.4	15.5	1.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	71	71	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.01	13	-18	31	16.4	16.2	0.13	16.7	19.1	-2.41
Hedo Turkoglu	45	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-8	11	17.3	15.5	1.87	16.3	18.2	-1.87
Glen Davis	48	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.25	-11	6	-17	17.7	14.9	2.84	17.5	17.2	0.30
Earl Clark	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	2	-9	17.3	16.2	1.09	20.2	17.0	3.22
Chris Duhon	32	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	16.9	16.1	0.80	16.4	17.7	-1.30
Jason Richardson	66	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-7	9	16.7	15.6	1.10	16.2	20.1	-3.83
Quentin Richardson	32	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	3	-11	15.5	16.8	-1.23	19.6	16.2	3.37
Jameer Nelson	63	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	16.1	16.9	-0.80	18.0	15.8	2.14
JJ Redick	46	46	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	15.4	17.3	-1.90	18.0	16.7	1.27
Ryan Anderson	54	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.63	2	-7	9	14.9	18.2	-3.25	17.5	16.9	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.78,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.2,0.28,0.43,0.09,0	88.3%
BKN 110, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.5,0.61,0.37,0.24,0.28,0	88.2%
TOR 109, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	87.7%