NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	2.7 [1189]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +8.5%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	1.0 [1212]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -11.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cal Bowdler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	15	65%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	13	54%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	53%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Dion Glover	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.00	0.08	5	79%	-0.01	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	11	33%	-0.05	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.17	0.00	-0.06	10	20%	-0.06	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	86%	0.14	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	67%	0.03	1	0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	53%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	13	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.6	24.9	14.8	24.2	2.4	29.4	121.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +31.1%

ATL -1.7%

WAS +8.5%

WAS +11.6%

WAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.2	108.9	120.0	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		99.3	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.2		104.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	14.0	17.8	14.0	15.6
WAS	16.3	15.4	18.2	16.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Barry	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-20	30	10.4	16.8	-6.38	15.6	16.6	-0.97
Dion Glover	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.34	8	-18	26	12.9	17.4	-4.52	15.8	16.8	-0.99
Cal Bowdler	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-16	22	13.5	17.3	-3.82	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Bimbo Coles	50	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-13	16	14.4	17.2	-2.84	15.7	17.2	-1.43
Dikembe Mutombo	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-8	6	17.4	14.0	3.39	17.3	15.6	1.70
Lorenzen Wright	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	14.0	17.4	-3.39	15.6	17.3	-1.70
Jason Terry	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.07	-13	3	-16	17.2	14.4	2.84	17.2	15.7	1.43
Jim Jackson	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	8	-26	17.4	12.9	4.52	16.8	15.8	0.99
Alan Henderson	57	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	7	-24	17.0	13.2	3.76	16.3	16.6	-0.34
LaPhonso Ellis	67	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	9	-28	17.0	11.7	5.27	16.9	15.1	1.74

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerard King	77	78	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-1	12	16.3	16.9	-0.64	16.1	12.4	3.70
Chris Whitney	72	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-4	18	16.7	14.9	1.86	16.3	12.4	3.87
Mitch Richmond	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.10	17	-7	24	16.6	16.1	0.44	17.4	13.2	4.22
Juwan Howard	42	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	-3	16	16.5	16.3	0.18	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Calvin Booth	46	44	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	9	-8	15.4	17.4	-2.06	12.5	18.7	-6.20
Jahidi White	44	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	1	8	17.4	15.4	2.06	18.7	12.5	6.20
Richard Hamilton	47	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	16	-22	15.8	17.0	-1.24	13.4	17.8	-4.40
Aaron Williams	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	6	-2	15.4	16.8	-1.35	14.0	16.2	-2.27
Tracy Murray	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.28	-8	18	-26	17.1	15.9	1.27	15.7	15.6	0.07
Laron Profit	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	15.5	16.5	-0.99	10.7	16.2	-5.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 71, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
PHI 90, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	96.7%
GSW 116, SAS 147	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%