NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	2.6 [1238]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +12.5%
San Antonio Spurs	147		Comeback	1.0 [1302]		LVP	Anthony Tolliver (GSW): -4.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.00	0.07	14	73%	0.14	2	-0.03	13	77%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	-0.00	0.09	28	65%	0.12	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Devean George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	62%	0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	13	41%	-0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.09	0.00	0.11	12	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	10	27%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.03	15	74%	0.14	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.04	6	108%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	8	85%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	10	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.00	7	57%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.03	9	48%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Malik Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	0.00	0.11	9	73%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	9	63%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	7	29%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	2.6	30.2	15.7	26.2	3.3	25.4	134.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.7%

GSW -2.2%

SAS +10.8%

SAS +4.8%

SAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	13.0	15.4	15.3	113.7	145.5	106.0
season	13.4	15.9		106.5	108.2
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.4	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.3	14.1	12.9	13.8	13.0
SAS	15.3	15.9	14.3	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Hunter	41	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-29	27	12.8	13.1	-0.30	15.5	15.4	0.06
Reggie Williams	65	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.30	-18	-13	-5	13.1	12.6	0.49	15.4	15.4	0.03
Anthony Morrow	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-23	15	13.3	12.4	0.90	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Devean George	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.27	-19	-12	-7	12.3	13.8	-1.43	15.8	15.0	0.78
Anthony Tolliver	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.36	-22	-9	-13	13.2	12.6	0.57	15.6	15.2	0.47
CJ Watson	82	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.38	-24	-7	-17	12.7	13.9	-1.23	15.4	15.4	0.04
Corey Maggette	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.37	-28	-3	-25	13.2	12.5	0.78	15.5	15.3	0.16
Monta Ellis	83	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-34	3	-37	12.9	13.2	-0.24	15.1	16.7	-1.58

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	46	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	10	11	14.7	16.1	-1.38	12.9	13.0	-0.17
Matt Bonner	44	44	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.31	23	8	15	14.7	16.0	-1.32	13.7	12.4	1.27
DeJuan Blair	53	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	21	-11	15.8	15.0	0.73	13.3	12.6	0.76
Malik Hairston	62	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.30	20	11	9	15.7	14.9	0.82	12.8	13.2	-0.35
Keith Bogans	37	38	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.45	25	6	19	15.7	15.3	0.44	12.8	13.1	-0.27
Manu Ginobili	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	22	-13	14.9	15.9	-0.96	12.7	13.1	-0.40
Richard Jefferson	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.16	13	18	-5	14.9	15.9	-0.96	13.1	12.9	0.19
Tim Duncan	31	31	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.19	13	18	-5	14.7	15.8	-1.08	12.6	13.1	-0.55
Antonio McDyess	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	27	-23	15.8	15.3	0.48	11.9	13.3	-1.41
Roger Mason Jr.	40	42	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	28	-25	16.3	14.9	1.45	13.3	12.7	0.51
Garrett Temple	42	42	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.26	10	21	-11	15.9	15.1	0.74	12.9	13.0	-0.18
Ian Mahinmi	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	27	-23	16.5	15.1	1.45	13.2	12.9	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, TOR 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
BKN 101, SAS 130	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
MEM 79, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%