inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 71 Excitement2.6 [752] MVPGary Payton (SEA): +6.5%
Seattle SuperSonics 90 Comeback1.0 [764] LVPErick Dampier (GSW): -11.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Delk0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Duane Ferrell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Felton Spencer-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04450%-0.002-0.00250%-0.00
John Starks-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.011150%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Adonal Foyle-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03731%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Muggsy Bogues-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0100%-0.001-0.0210%-0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.05633%-0.023-0.0100%0.00
Terry Cummings-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.02450%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Caffey-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01656%0.013-0.05475%-0.00
Chris Mills-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.02956%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01360%-0.012-0.04450%-0.01
Antawn Jamison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.12-0.00-0.071028%-0.031-0.02560%-0.00
Erick Dampier-0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.150.00-0.04622%-0.072-0.04633%-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.03977%0.081-0.018100%0.02
Dale Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.00872%0.062-0.022100%0.01
Detlef Schrempf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00460%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jelani McCoy00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Cotton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Don MacLean0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.03533%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.00-0.08229%0.002-0.0030%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00444%-0.0100.0010%-0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.07440%-0.013-0.0020%0.00
Billy Owens0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.031136%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01467%0.023-0.05786%0.01
Vin Baker0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03936%-0.0300.0040%-0.05
Olden Polynice0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.090.00-0.02737%-0.033-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game80.20.832.214.724.02.034.3188.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +21.6%
SEA +6.9%
SEA +8.9%
SEA +10.2%
SEA +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSEANBAGSWSEANBA
this game16.315.415.877.2100.099.6
season15.915.495.1102.4
opponent15.915.5103.598.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW18.014.118.515.216.3
SEA14.715.320.512.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duane Ferrell1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-212313.916.7-2.8410.116.3-6.20
Felton Spencer2322-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-191915.716.4-0.7012.016.5-4.53
Tony Delk1412-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-171521.415.36.1014.215.6-1.40
Jason Caffey3030-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-181716.116.3-0.2419.613.36.33
Donyell Marshall1312-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-12515.516.4-0.9313.615.7-2.07
Erick Dampier3938-0.22-0.280.070.02-8-11314.717.4-2.7717.214.03.22
Muggsy Bogues3233-0.23-0.270.040.00-8-11316.016.4-0.4519.113.25.81
Adonal Foyle4948-0.24-0.260.030.09-11-8-316.615.90.6613.217.9-4.69
Bimbo Coles5149-0.25-0.25-0.000.07-11-8-315.916.7-0.7612.918.4-5.53
Antawn Jamison4948-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-12-7-516.615.80.8013.118.0-4.96
Terry Cummings3030-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-11-8-318.715.13.6715.515.30.23
Chris Mills5959-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-10-9-115.817.1-1.3417.411.65.79
John Starks5755-0.36-0.14-0.210.11-16-3-1316.216.3-0.0916.913.03.89

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vin Baker47490.390.110.28-0.111721517.313.33.9717.914.43.50
Gary Payton54560.390.110.27-0.081631316.713.43.3616.316.20.06
Hersey Hawkins47480.300.200.10-0.08136716.114.61.4817.614.82.81
Detlef Schrempf37380.290.210.08-0.00109117.014.22.7514.317.6-3.31
Olden Polynice45450.290.210.070.05811-318.512.26.3115.716.8-1.12
Billy Owens41420.250.25-0.01-0.02910-116.614.32.2615.017.3-2.32
Dale Ellis36360.220.28-0.07-0.05910-115.515.30.2517.615.42.26
Moochie Norris42420.180.32-0.130.01613-713.017.5-4.5515.217.1-1.93
Aaron Williams29310.180.32-0.13-0.23145913.516.3-2.8019.614.55.10
Don MacLean19190.010.49-0.47-0.04217-1514.715.5-0.8116.816.10.73
Vladimir Stepania21220.010.49-0.490.01019-1911.216.7-5.4616.016.3-0.34
James Cotton14140.000.50-0.500.06-221-2310.116.3-6.2013.916.7-2.84
Rashard Lewis11110.000.50-0.500.15-524-299.916.1-6.2312.916.7-3.81
Jelani McCoy770.000.50-0.500.06-221-236.416.1-9.7010.716.7-6.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 98, WAS 1080.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
PHI 72, NYK 910.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
PHI 76, SAS 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%