inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 104 Excitement4.7 [868] MVPMuggsy Bogues (TOR): +13.4%
Atlanta Hawks 84 Comeback1.9 [714] LVPDion Glover (ATL): -13.3%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues0.130,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.030.026100%0.1300.001100%0.01
Dell Curry0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.070.02874%0.141-0.033100%0.02
Vince Carter0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.011364%0.1000.001080%0.02
Tracy McGrady0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.030.011666%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Willis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.00862%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Alvin Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Stewart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02669%0.032-0.04475%-0.00
Charles Oakley-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.110.02-0.031233%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Dee Brown-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alan Henderson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.020.021669%0.131-0.02367%-0.02
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.02-0.061138%0.031-0.02450%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.010.01765%0.052-0.043100%0.02
Drew Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00275%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.00864%0.052-0.06683%0.01
Cal Bowdler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.05-0.001450%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.0540%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Roshown McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.040.01617%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.04-0.03822%-0.112-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.324.615.729.12.728.0125.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +46.3%
TOR +6.6%
ATL -3.4%
ATL -2.5%
TOR +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORATLNBATORATLNBA
this game15.816.615.2118.293.3101.7
season15.515.4101.899.3
opponent15.214.9105.1102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.717.913.816.715.8
ATL15.916.420.514.016.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter77790.67-0.170.83-0.0424-42815.715.9-0.1717.013.63.36
Muggsy Bogues63630.53-0.030.57-0.052002014.917.8-2.9017.813.74.17
Antonio Davis59600.430.070.36-0.071731415.516.3-0.8717.814.13.68
Charles Oakley56560.410.090.330.00146814.917.3-2.4917.914.43.55
Tracy McGrady63660.410.090.31-0.061641214.918.0-3.1816.915.71.26
Dell Curry41420.170.33-0.17-0.04713-616.714.91.8215.517.5-2.00
Kevin Willis47490.040.46-0.43-0.02218-1615.915.60.2415.418.0-2.50
Alvin Williams890.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1620.215.34.9410.617.3-6.70
Michael Stewart770.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1621.015.35.699.917.2-7.30
John Thomas660.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1621.515.36.1610.317.0-6.70
Dee Brown1313-0.150.65-0.810.02-626-3217.815.42.3613.317.1-3.84

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Drew Barry1110-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-202011.517.3-5.7520.715.15.57
Dion Glover4543-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-191815.018.2-3.2216.615.01.60
Cal Bowdler3232-0.09-0.410.330.18-9-11215.417.2-1.7916.915.11.85
Bimbo Coles3635-0.14-0.360.220.16-10-10015.517.3-1.8116.815.11.68
Roshown McLeod2424-0.17-0.330.170.10-9-11219.315.63.7414.316.3-1.96
Dikembe Mutombo7575-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.02-9-11217.213.53.6715.715.8-0.10
LaPhonso Ellis5351-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-8-415.218.6-3.5016.514.71.83
Jason Terry5453-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-10017.315.51.8115.116.8-1.68
Alan Henderson6461-0.510.01-0.52-0.01-17-3-1417.314.82.5014.718.1-3.44
Jim Jackson5656-0.550.05-0.610.12-233-2618.114.13.9214.717.7-3.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 123, WAS 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.1%
PHI 102, DET 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.5%
BOS 95, MIN 780.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%