NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	5.0 [830]		MVP	Steven Hunter (PHI): +16.2%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	1.4 [291]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	10	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.02	-0.06	24	52%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	14	45%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	13	45%	-0.03	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	23%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	5	73%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.01	0.08	8	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	10	32%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	26.6	17.5	23.4	2.3	27.4	123.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.2%

DET -3.0%

PHI +15.9%

PHI +11.0%

DET -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	17.1	15.4	118.6	107.1	104.5
season	15.5	16.8		101.7	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	15.7	15.4	18.0	16.6
DET	20.0	15.7	19.6	13.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	75	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-2	15	16.3	18.4	-2.07	17.4	15.1	2.34
Steven Hunter	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-2	15	15.4	17.9	-2.46	19.2	14.7	4.50
Andre Miller	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	-2	15	15.7	18.2	-2.52	18.6	14.4	4.27
Samuel Dalembert	36	35	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	2	7	16.6	16.5	0.04	20.7	14.6	6.09
Bobby Jones	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	3	5	17.0	15.6	1.41	17.3	16.6	0.70
Lou Williams	58	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	17.2	15.2	1.94	15.4	20.6	-5.24
Joe Smith	53	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	12	-13	17.1	15.7	1.40	14.9	20.8	-5.86
Lou Amundson	45	44	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	12	-13	17.2	15.8	1.44	14.3	20.1	-5.78

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-9	7	20.0	16.1	3.88	15.1	17.1	-1.95
Antonio McDyess	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-8	5	15.9	17.4	-1.55	14.5	17.0	-2.53
Ronald Murray	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-9	7	14.6	20.6	-5.99	16.4	16.8	-0.35
Carlos Delfino	46	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	14.5	20.3	-5.83	16.8	16.3	0.55
Jason Maxiell	46	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	14.5	20.3	-5.83	16.8	16.3	0.55
Richard Hamilton	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-6	1	20.2	15.4	4.87	16.5	16.6	-0.04
Lindsey Hunter	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-6	1	15.2	18.3	-3.16	17.4	16.0	1.40
Chris Webber	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	19.6	14.4	5.20	16.4	16.7	-0.29
Tayshaun Prince	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	20.3	14.5	5.83	16.3	16.8	-0.55
Chauncey Billups	36	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	20.6	14.6	5.99	16.8	16.4	0.35
Amir Johnson	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-2	-7	16.1	20.0	-3.88	17.1	15.1	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 114, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.3%
SAS 110, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
TOR 104, ATL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%