NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	115		Excitement	15.3 [2]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +22.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	117		Comeback	31.8 [43]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -34.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.01	11	72%	0.19	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Danny Fortson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	57%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Adrian Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.13,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.14,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	25	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.05
Dana Barros	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	8	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	12	24%	-0.12	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.06
Antoine Walker	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.22,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.34	-0.22	-0.13	-0.01	28	39%	-0.13	6	-0.21	6	67%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	-0.02	0.25	0.00	9	56%	0.39	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16	0.16	-0.00	0.16	-0.00	9	55%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.12	0.00	15	51%	0.17	4	-0.13	9	44%	-0.13
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	11	63%	0.10	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	8	48%	0.09	1	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	0.00	1	25%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	-0.00	19	48%	-0.11	3	-0.14	6	83%	0.04
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.2,-0.3	-0.30	-0.17	-0.18	-0.04	25	36%	-0.18	2	-0.12	8	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.3	1.6	33.7	12.0	33.2	1.6	42.2	2.4	25.1	1.5	18.4	194.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.0%

PHI +9.7%

PHI +8.8%

BOS -17.7%

BOS -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.2	95.8	100.9	101.7
season	14.7	15.0		102.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	14.4	13.7	12.8	16.4	16.3	14.5
PHI	14.4	14.6	15.4	16.4	10.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	59	57	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.16	11	-13	24	13.9	15.8	-1.92	15.4	14.0	1.38
Vitaly Potapenko	79	79	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-3	4	15.6	13.3	2.35	14.4	15.1	-0.64
Danny Fortson	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-1	0	13.0	15.3	-2.25	15.2	14.5	0.66
Paul Pierce	77	75	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-3	4	15.2	14.1	1.09	15.0	14.0	0.92
Kenny Anderson	78	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-4	6	15.4	13.9	1.51	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Adrian Griffin	25	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-6	10	15.0	14.8	0.25	12.4	15.3	-2.91
Tony Battie	28	23	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-4	6	12.8	15.5	-2.64	15.7	14.4	1.25
Dana Barros	44	43	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.51	-2	0	-2	13.8	15.4	-1.62	14.7	14.6	0.16
Antoine Walker	106	103	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	6	-14	15.3	11.7	3.54	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Calbert Cheaney	80	75	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.19	-20	18	-38	15.1	14.4	0.70	14.7	14.5	0.17

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	90	94	1.08	-0.58	1.67	0.64	15	-13	28	14.9	13.8	1.13	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Matt Geiger	43	47	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-12	26	14.0	15.1	-1.10	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Kevin Ollie	15	15	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.53	8	-6	14	13.9	14.8	-0.90	15.4	14.8	0.64
Allen Iverson	97	97	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-4	10	14.5	15.5	-0.99	14.4	16.7	-2.35
Eric Snow	104	107	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.42	-5	7	-12	15.0	11.9	3.04	15.4	10.3	5.08
Todd MacCulloch	3	3	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	15.7	14.6	1.05	12.3	14.9	-2.57
Aaron McKie	59	62	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	11	-20	14.2	15.1	-0.94	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Tyrone Hill	79	80	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.06	-10	12	-22	15.4	13.0	2.46	15.2	14.1	1.15
Theo Ratliff	80	83	-0.59	1.09	-1.68	-0.30	-10	12	-22	14.7	14.5	0.25	15.0	14.6	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.1,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.11,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.69,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.71,0.68,0.73,1	86.7%
TOR 101, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.23,0.26,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.23,0.02,0	86.1%
DEN 124, ORL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.21,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.22,0.02,0	85.8%