NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	9.3 [98]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +21.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	96		Comeback	7.8 [171]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -28.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.17	0.00	14	69%	0.33	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	19	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	10	73%	0.16	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.09	-0.16	0.06	-0.00	9	32%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.13
Steven Smith	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	11	33%	-0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.23	-0.06	-0.18	-0.01	9	43%	0.01	2	-0.24	3	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	72%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.07
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.14	2	-0.17	8	62%	-0.03
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.26	-0.26	0.05	-0.30	0.01	10	58%	-0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.28	-0.28	-0.02	-0.26	0.00	22	50%	-0.21	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	46.2	1.7	32.2	15.8	28.3	2.4	34.5	161.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.2%

POR +48.8%

SEA -0.6%

SEA -27.3%

SEA -8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	16.9	14.2	15.2	104.3	104.3	101.7
season	15.9	14.9		105.9	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		102.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.8	17.6	14.2	18.4	16.9
SEA	14.9	11.9	15.2	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	74	72	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.68	5	-4	9	16.3	19.3	-2.93	13.9	15.2	-1.36
Arvydas Sabonis	70	70	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.27	18	-17	35	16.7	17.7	-0.95	14.9	12.0	2.87
Damon Stoudamire	64	65	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-13	27	16.4	18.1	-1.75	14.3	13.9	0.42
Rasheed Wallace	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	3	-5	16.9	17.2	-0.38	13.8	15.9	-2.12
Steven Smith	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.40	-2	3	-5	17.7	15.6	2.14	13.3	15.7	-2.38
Bonzi Wells	51	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	6	-11	15.9	18.1	-2.20	15.1	13.2	1.92
Jermaine O'Neal	9	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	18.4	16.8	1.67	16.1	14.0	2.15
Detlef Schrempf	35	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.21	-14	15	-29	17.8	16.4	1.43	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Greg Anthony	27	27	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.11	-13	14	-27	19.1	16.0	3.12	13.9	14.3	-0.42

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Maxwell	43	43	0.63	-1.13	1.76	0.01	21	-22	43	14.1	14.3	-0.17	17.9	16.1	1.72
Brent Barry	73	75	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.18	12	-13	25	13.1	18.5	-5.47	17.0	16.6	0.40
Greg Foster	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-1	1	13.6	14.2	-0.61	19.4	16.7	2.67
Gary Payton	92	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.2	0.0	14.18	16.9	0.0	16.94
Rashard Lewis	46	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.50	-1	0	-1	15.5	12.9	2.59	16.8	17.0	-0.21
Vin Baker	70	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	7	-15	14.5	13.2	1.32	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Ruben Patterson	54	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	13	-27	13.9	14.6	-0.72	16.5	17.5	-1.03
Horace Grant	74	75	-1.02	0.52	-1.55	-0.61	-14	13	-27	14.5	12.8	1.75	16.5	18.7	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.53,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.71,0.57,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.57,0.16,0	91.1%
DEN 103, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.66,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.22,0.16,0	90.8%
DET 82, BOS 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.42,0	90.5%