NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	7.7 [290]		MVP	Joe Smith (MIN): +30.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	3.1 [118]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -20.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.3	0.06	0.23	-0.00	9	67%	0.30	0	0.00	6	100%	0.11
Terrell Brandon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	20	58%	0.16	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	9	73%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Bobby Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	11	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	5	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	17	45%	-0.07	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	17	54%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio Harvey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.11	0.01	10	68%	0.09	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.05	-0.16	0.02	10	83%	0.11	4	-0.23	3	33%	-0.07
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.12	0.02	14	54%	-0.12	3	-0.08	11	64%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	31.2	16.3	25.3	2.5	31.5	133.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -10.4%

MIN +23.7%

POR -17.9%

MIN +55.1%

POR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	17.4	15.2	106.7	103.4	101.7
season	15.1	15.9		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.7		99.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.3	13.4	12.5	16.3	14.8
POR	18.7	18.7	17.5	15.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	74	73	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.51	10	-6	16	15.0	13.6	1.42	17.5	17.2	0.26
Kevin Garnett	82	81	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-2	8	14.5	17.2	-2.70	17.2	19.9	-2.71
Wally Szczerbiak	64	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-4	12	15.2	13.7	1.49	18.1	15.4	2.66
Anthony Peeler	41	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	5	-6	14.9	14.7	0.16	16.6	18.0	-1.37
Joe Smith	55	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	7	-10	15.3	13.9	1.38	16.9	18.1	-1.14
Malik Sealy	59	58	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	1	2	14.7	14.9	-0.22	17.0	18.2	-1.16
Rasho Nesterovic	48	46	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-3	10	13.5	16.2	-2.72	18.0	16.7	1.32
Dean Garrett	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	8	-12	17.0	14.5	2.52	19.3	17.1	2.23
Bobby Jackson	16	16	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.12	-6	10	-16	13.6	15.0	-1.42	17.2	17.5	-0.26

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	27	29	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.05	-1	-3	2	18.6	16.9	1.71	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Greg Anthony	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-2	0	18.0	17.1	0.92	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Jermaine O'Neal	45	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-2	0	18.4	16.3	2.10	13.7	15.8	-2.08
Arvydas Sabonis	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-4	4	17.5	17.1	0.39	14.7	15.0	-0.21
Scottie Pippen	68	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-4	4	17.1	18.4	-1.28	15.0	14.0	0.95
Detlef Schrempf	24	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	2	-8	18.4	17.0	1.33	14.9	14.8	0.13
Rasheed Wallace	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-2	0	16.6	18.5	-1.93	15.3	14.1	1.17
Damon Stoudamire	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.34	-2	-2	0	17.1	18.0	-0.92	14.8	14.7	0.06
Steven Smith	73	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.60	-5	1	-6	16.8	20.2	-3.47	15.3	12.8	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 107, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.65,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.34,0.08,0	91.6%
NJN 78, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	91.3%
LAL 111, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.09,0.02,0	90.9%