NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	8.0 [245]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +25.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	1.1 [486]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -38.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.25	0.06	0.15	-0.04	22	61%	0.31	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.04
Alvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.05
Dee Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	5	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Tracy McGrady	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	11	61%	0.04	3	-0.22	9	56%	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Shammond Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	27	52%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.08	-0.05	13	38%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.38	-0.38	-0.17	-0.24	-0.03	23	39%	-0.29	3	-0.09	10	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	67.7	2.7	32.2	18.7	30.6	1.8	47.1	200.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +51.1%

TOR +10.5%

TOR +11.1%

SEA -24.7%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SEA	NBA	TOR	SEA	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.2	103.1	102.1	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		101.8	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.9		102.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.5	19.2	15.4	16.3	15.7
SEA	15.2	12.7	15.2	14.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	83	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.36	10	-8	18	15.2	19.2	-3.95	14.8	11.7	3.05
Doug Christie	81	80	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	15.2	18.5	-3.31	14.6	13.5	1.04
Tracy McGrady	75	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-7	16	14.8	19.1	-4.30	14.7	13.4	1.26
Alvin Williams	8	8	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	1	0	18.1	15.5	2.60	16.5	14.2	2.28
Charles Oakley	83	81	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	-2	6	15.4	17.8	-2.44	14.6	13.1	1.57
Dell Curry	13	14	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	2	-2	21.6	14.8	6.80	14.9	14.3	0.61
Antonio Davis	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-5	12	16.7	15.4	1.29	15.0	14.2	0.79
Kevin Willis	64	64	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	7	-12	15.7	15.9	-0.25	13.6	16.0	-2.41
Dee Brown	16	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	9	-16	15.2	15.8	-0.66	13.6	14.6	-1.02
Muggsy Bogues	33	31	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.13	-14	16	-30	18.2	14.5	3.68	12.5	15.3	-2.81

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Maxwell	44	45	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.40	15	-17	32	14.0	14.7	-0.68	16.3	15.2	1.08
Shammond Williams	1	2	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-1	0	14.0	14.4	-0.41	2.5	16.0	-13.52
Greg Foster	10	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	4	-10	15.4	14.3	1.11	10.5	16.4	-5.97
Jelani McCoy	16	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	5	-12	14.9	14.3	0.56	19.3	15.1	4.18
Brent Barry	63	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	14.5	14.3	0.15	14.9	17.5	-2.58
Horace Grant	92	94	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-2	2	14.3	16.7	-2.33	15.7	15.5	0.24
Emanual Davis	15	14	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	4	-10	14.7	14.4	0.30	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Rashard Lewis	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.68	8	-10	18	14.2	15.2	-1.06	16.3	14.0	2.32
Ruben Patterson	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	5	-12	14.7	13.8	0.89	16.3	14.5	1.85
Gary Payton	95	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.4	0.0	14.41	15.7	0.0	15.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.51,0.53,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.7%
MIL 102, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.02,0,0,0	92.5%
BOS 102, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.06,0,0	92.1%