NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	7.3 [368]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +20.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	6.5 [46]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -21.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	12	68%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	10	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Gerard King	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jahidi White	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Whitney	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	7	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Juwan Howard	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	4	-0.16	2	0%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	-0.00	14	79%	0.27	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.06
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	19	52%	-0.05	1	-0.07	12	67%	-0.03
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.22	-0.22	-0.01	-0.20	0.00	11	45%	-0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	28.0	14.6	24.2	1.5	42.3	134.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +70.8%

MIN -14.2%

MIN -1.1%

MIN -2.6%

MIN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.2	98.9	93.5	101.7
season	15.5	15.1		101.1	103.5
opponent	15.7	14.8		101.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.7	15.0	17.2	15.0	16.2
MIN	13.0	17.1	17.0	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	38	39	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.50	10	-6	16	15.5	16.7	-1.18	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Richard Hamilton	53	54	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-5	14	16.9	15.2	1.63	15.3	15.3	0.01
Aaron Williams	49	50	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	0	4	16.9	15.4	1.54	15.7	14.8	0.98
Tracy Murray	50	50	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-2	8	15.6	16.9	-1.21	15.9	14.5	1.37
Jahidi White	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	-1	6	16.7	14.2	2.50	15.4	14.8	0.64
Gerard King	45	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	1	2	15.9	16.4	-0.50	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Mitch Richmond	39	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	7	-10	14.9	17.2	-2.30	14.9	15.6	-0.64
Juwan Howard	56	55	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	12	-20	15.9	16.7	-0.86	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Rod Strickland	53	53	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.12	-6	10	-16	16.7	15.5	1.18	15.9	14.5	1.40

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	44	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	16.1	14.6	1.48	16.7	15.7	0.97
Tom Hammonds	5	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	3	-10	15.8	15.3	0.54	10.0	16.5	-6.55
Malik Sealy	63	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-3	2	15.3	15.2	0.13	16.7	15.2	1.42
Terrell Brandon	76	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-6	8	15.0	16.6	-1.54	16.0	17.3	-1.29
Joe Smith	45	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-10	16	14.9	15.6	-0.70	16.8	15.5	1.24
Rasho Nesterovic	9	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-1	-2	17.4	15.1	2.38	12.4	16.6	-4.15
Wally Szczerbiak	77	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-1	-2	15.3	15.3	-0.05	16.0	17.3	-1.30
William Avery	16	15	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	2	-8	16.6	15.0	1.54	17.3	16.0	1.29
Kevin Garnett	79	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-5	6	15.1	16.5	-1.36	16.4	15.1	1.29
Anthony Peeler	46	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	1	-6	14.7	15.9	-1.15	15.9	16.5	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.16,0	92.0%
CHI 99, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.0%
BOS 87, ATL 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.07,0.11,0,0	91.9%