NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	8.0 [242]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +20.5%
Charlotte Hornets	87		Comeback	3.3 [390]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -26.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.09,0.19,0.21	0.12	0.10	0.02	13	79%	0.34	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Hornacek	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02	-0.05	0.07	0.00	17	47%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.06
Bryon Russell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.05	-0.04	6	12%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	0.00	5	80%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	72%	0.19	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.12,0.03,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	24	55%	0.14	4	-0.26	8	87%	0.06
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	12	46%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.09
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.17	0.01	13	39%	-0.09	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	26.5	18.2	24.4	3.0	38.2	135.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +3.0%

UTA +12.0%

UTA +18.2%

UTA +16.8%

CHH -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHH	NBA	UTA	CHH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.2	97.8	95.6	101.7
season	16.3	14.9		104.5	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		99.2	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	16.4	15.1	17.0	15.9
CHH	15.5	16.3	14.3	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	61	60	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.61	13	-11	24	15.0	17.5	-2.45	16.1	15.1	1.00
Olden Polynice	53	54	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.50	14	-12	26	15.0	17.1	-2.05	16.4	14.8	1.61
Bryon Russell	70	69	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.51	10	-8	18	15.7	16.3	-0.62	16.1	14.8	1.28
Jeff Hornacek	65	64	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.57	5	-3	8	15.7	16.3	-0.63	15.3	17.0	-1.67
Karl Malone	75	74	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.53	5	-3	8	15.7	16.7	-1.08	15.6	16.6	-1.05
Jacque Vaughn	14	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.13	-1	3	-4	18.6	15.4	3.21	17.7	15.4	2.25
Greg Ostertag	34	34	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	9	-16	17.2	15.1	2.11	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Quincy Lewis	21	22	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.07	-8	10	-18	16.3	15.7	0.62	14.8	16.1	-1.28
Armen Gilliam	20	20	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.10	-8	10	-18	16.6	15.6	0.95	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Howard Eisley	42	43	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.17	-13	15	-28	16.4	15.4	1.02	15.4	16.1	-0.75

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	14	14	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-8	14	13.5	16.2	-2.71	17.4	15.6	1.86
Ricky Davis	10	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	16.8	15.7	1.13	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Baron Davis	30	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-4	6	17.6	14.9	2.65	17.7	15.0	2.69
Chucky Brown	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	3	-8	15.9	15.8	0.18	15.4	16.0	-0.55
Dale Ellis	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	1	-4	15.0	16.5	-1.46	14.6	16.9	-2.26
Eddie Robinson	44	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-2	2	16.6	15.1	1.50	16.6	15.1	1.52
Anthony Mason	87	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.47	2	-4	6	15.9	14.5	1.35	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Eddie Jones	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-1	0	15.7	16.4	-0.69	15.9	15.9	0.00
David Wesley	65	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	1	-4	15.0	17.9	-2.93	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Elden Campbell	67	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	6	-14	16.1	14.9	1.24	15.8	16.0	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.81,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	91.5%
MIL 121, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.08,0	91.3%
TOR 121, SEA 113	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.32,0.37,0.57,0.16,0	91.0%