NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	121		Excitement	8.2 [242]		MVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): +40.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	113		Comeback	3.0 [271]		LVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): -15.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.4	0.25	0.16	0.01	12	85%	0.40	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Chris Bosh	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.03,0.16,0.24	0.13	0.11	-0.00	14	64%	0.39	2	-0.15	17	100%	0.14
Mike James	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	14	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	17	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.18	0.16	0.00	14	78%	0.41	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	11	74%	0.23	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.04	-0.00	20	55%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	48%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.00	8	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	26.2	15.6	23.1	1.6	38.2	133.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -6.1%

TOR +40.9%

TOR +2.2%

TOR +13.7%

SEA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SEA	NBA	TOR	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	14.1	15.6	127.4	118.9	104.4
season	15.6	15.0		107.3	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		112.2	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.1	15.1	17.9	15.8	16.2
SEA	13.3	15.6	13.4	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	70	69	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.32	23	-15	38	16.6	15.1	1.45	14.6	12.8	1.76
Chris Bosh	80	79	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.36	20	-12	32	16.4	15.2	1.18	14.4	13.0	1.35
Jalen Rose	75	73	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.37	19	-11	30	16.7	14.4	2.20	14.2	13.9	0.28
Matt Bonner	59	58	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.38	13	-5	18	17.3	14.3	2.99	14.4	13.6	0.78
Morris Peterson	87	87	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	16.2	15.6	0.62	14.3	12.2	2.05
Charlie Villanueva	35	36	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.12	-5	13	-18	14.5	17.2	-2.70	13.8	14.3	-0.47
Joey Graham	28	30	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.09	-11	19	-30	14.8	16.8	-1.99	13.5	14.4	-0.96
Pape Sow	15	16	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.10	-12	20	-32	15.2	16.4	-1.18	13.0	14.4	-1.35
Jose Calderon	26	27	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.06	-15	23	-38	14.9	16.7	-1.80	12.6	14.7	-2.09

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	37	36	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.05	5	-13	18	13.9	14.2	-0.30	14.3	17.3	-2.99
Nick Collison	59	58	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-13	18	14.4	13.6	0.78	15.7	17.0	-1.37
Damien Wilkins	28	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-8	8	14.0	14.2	-0.18	14.5	16.9	-2.34
Robert Swift	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-5	2	13.0	14.4	-1.43	14.0	16.8	-2.71
Johan Petro	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-4	0	13.6	14.3	-0.67	17.8	15.6	2.20
Reggie Evans	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-11	14	15.3	12.9	2.44	17.4	15.0	2.32
Vladimir Radmanovic	32	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	4	-16	13.5	14.4	-0.90	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Ray Allen	85	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-2	-4	14.3	12.5	1.82	16.5	13.7	2.79
Rashard Lewis	74	74	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.33	-13	5	-18	13.9	15.0	-1.12	16.6	14.6	2.08
Luke Ridnour	68	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	7	-22	14.0	14.5	-0.50	16.8	14.6	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.32,0.37,0.57,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.81,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	92.6%
MIN 96, VAN 94	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.27,0	91.3%
UTA 89, CHH 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.15,0	91.0%