NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	9.9 [60]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +94.4%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	18.2 [40]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -27.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.94	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.94	0.09	0.87	0.02	16	68%	0.98	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Johnny Newman	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	14	72%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Lucious Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	4	37%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Elliot Perry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.09,-0.27,-0.27	-0.04	-0.26	-0.03	23	48%	-0.22	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.11	0.22	-0.02	16	66%	0.36	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.03	0.03	20	74%	0.29	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.07
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	86%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	9	43%	-0.00	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	16	25%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.15	0.01	24	44%	-0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.9	2.4	23.5	16.4	23.4	2.4	31.4	119.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +92.9%

DAL -22.3%

DAL -17.7%

NJN +9.1%

DAL -12.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.2	107.3	107.4	101.7
season	15.5	14.8		102.1	104.2
opponent	14.8	14.7		104.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.3	14.8	14.7	17.0	15.4
DAL	11.4	15.9	16.0	16.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	43	42	1.08	-0.58	1.67	0.64	15	-14	29	15.7	15.1	0.58	16.1	13.8	2.32
Johnny Newman	49	49	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.43	13	-12	25	15.8	14.9	0.90	15.9	13.5	2.40
Lucious Harris	48	49	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-10	21	15.1	15.7	-0.62	15.7	13.8	1.85
Stephon Marbury	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-2	5	14.7	18.6	-3.90	14.3	17.2	-2.97
Keith Van Horn	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.64	-13	14	-27	15.7	14.7	0.93	14.4	15.7	-1.26
Jamie Feick	30	29	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.17	14	-13	27	14.7	15.7	-0.93	15.7	14.4	1.26
Elliot Perry	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	3	-5	18.6	14.7	3.90	17.2	14.3	2.97
Kerry Kittles	48	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	11	-21	15.7	15.1	0.62	13.8	15.7	-1.85
Kendall Gill	47	46	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.04	-12	13	-25	14.9	15.8	-0.90	13.5	15.9	-2.40
Jim McIlvaine	53	53	-0.58	1.08	-1.67	-0.17	-14	15	-29	15.1	15.7	-0.58	13.8	16.1	-2.32

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	81	84	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.12	10	-11	21	14.9	14.4	0.49	16.1	10.3	5.76
Robert Pack	51	51	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-4	7	13.7	16.0	-2.32	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Hubert Davis	15	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-5	9	15.5	14.6	0.90	15.4	15.4	-0.03
Sean Rooks	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-1	1	0.0	14.8	-14.78	0.0	15.5	-15.54
Cedric Ceballos	49	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	9	-19	15.9	13.6	2.27	15.2	15.6	-0.47
Dennis Rodman	66	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.35	6	-7	13	14.4	15.7	-1.31	15.5	15.2	0.23
Michael Finley	88	90	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	1	-3	14.9	13.3	1.61	15.5	13.3	2.18
Erick Strickland	87	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	3	-7	14.5	17.5	-2.97	15.0	19.4	-4.49
Greg Buckner	3	2	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.55	-3	2	-5	16.7	14.7	1.95	9.5	15.5	-6.00
Steve Nash	35	33	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.69	-9	8	-17	15.2	14.5	0.71	15.9	15.1	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.31,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 86, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.41,0.55,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	89.6%
NYK 78, MIA 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.45,0.69,0	88.9%
MEM 91, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.58,0	88.7%