NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	78		Excitement	8.2 [120]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +29.5%
Miami Heat	77		Comeback	12.9 [39]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -37.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,0.3	-0.10	0.38	-0.01	13	43%	0.46	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	2	117%	0.16	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	13	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.12	0.01	-0.11	0.02	19	51%	-0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.12	-0.03	5	33%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	16	40%	-0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.14	0.00	14	55%	0.16	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.03
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Askins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	3	17%	-0.13	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.08
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	9	35%	-0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.05
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.00	10	39%	-0.05	4	-0.32	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.6	31.4	19.8	25.2	5.6	37.9	150.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.6%

MIA -16.0%

MIA -19.8%

NYK +38.7%

NYK +16.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	19.0	17.9	15.8	100.0	98.7	99.6
season	16.0	16.6		97.0	101.3
opponent	16.7	16.6		96.8	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	17.9	22.8	21.2	19.0
MIA	15.0	18.1	19.6	20.0	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	61	60	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-10	21	18.4	21.1	-2.62	18.7	15.2	3.57
Larry Johnson	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-9	19	18.1	24.0	-5.89	17.4	20.9	-3.55
Charlie Ward	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	1	-1	18.4	20.9	-2.54	16.6	21.6	-4.96
Chris Childs	29	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-15	31	17.2	20.1	-2.82	20.5	16.2	4.22
Allan Houston	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.61	-10	11	-21	20.2	14.6	5.58	17.7	18.6	-0.82
Patrick Ewing	67	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.45	-8	9	-17	18.9	19.6	-0.73	17.6	19.6	-1.98
Marcus Camby	23	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	6	-11	20.4	18.4	1.95	19.5	17.3	2.15
Rick Brunson	2	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	31.5	18.7	12.82	11.0	18.0	-7.00
Kurt Thomas	23	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	8	-15	21.6	17.9	3.68	17.3	18.2	-0.89

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	40	43	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.17	15	-16	31	16.6	19.3	-2.74	19.5	18.4	1.16
Clar. Weatherspoon	24	23	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-6	11	18.5	17.6	0.91	17.7	19.6	-1.87
Keith Askins	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-3	5	5.0	18.1	-13.08	0.0	19.3	-19.26
Duane Causwell	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-3	5	5.0	18.1	-13.08	0.0	19.3	-19.26
Dan Majerle	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.57	9	-10	19	17.5	19.1	-1.51	19.7	16.6	3.12
Voshon Lenard	23	20	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	12	-25	20.7	16.8	3.89	17.6	19.5	-1.83
P.J. Brown	60	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	5	-11	17.5	19.1	-1.56	19.4	17.6	1.75
Alonzo Mourning	66	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	1	-3	18.1	16.7	1.37	19.4	16.9	2.48
Tim Hardaway	68	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.58	-3	2	-5	17.5	20.4	-2.86	19.1	18.6	0.43
Terry Porter	48	45	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	13	-27	19.1	16.1	3.00	18.5	19.7	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.45,0.69,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.78,0.55,0.58,0	91.6%
HOU 87, MIN 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.61,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.74,0	89.8%
DAL 90, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.84,0	89.7%