NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	11.9 [18]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +15.5%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	5.9 [218]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -46.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.00	17	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12	-0.06	0.15	-0.02	17	57%	0.24	5	-0.13	8	75%	-0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lari Ketner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Donny Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06
Earl Boykins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	15	47%	-0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.47	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.23,-0.19,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	18	52%	-0.31	3	-0.15	12	92%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	3	89%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	19	62%	0.19	4	-0.19	10	80%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.01	4	64%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.11	-0.02	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	11	50%	0.09	3	-0.25	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.19	-0.02	5	56%	0.04	3	-0.27	6	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.04	-0.18	0.03	13	52%	-0.04	3	-0.23	3	33%	-0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.42,-0.41	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.00	12	37%	-0.37	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.4	2.8	30.2	16.4	23.4	2.7	41.3	1.5	16.4	164.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +10.7%

CHI -25.1%

CHI -5.4%

CLE +78.0%

CHI -8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.2	110.7	107.8	101.7
season	14.1	16.5		98.0	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.3		102.3	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	13.2	17.1	12.0	17.0	17.9	14.9
CHI	15.6	15.6	15.7	18.1	15.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	89	88	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.47	14	-10	24	13.8	22.2	-8.43	16.2	15.5	0.69
Shawn Kemp	83	83	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.35	17	-13	30	14.3	17.3	-3.00	16.3	15.2	1.09
Lamond Murray	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	2	0	16.5	13.4	3.05	15.4	16.8	-1.33
Mark Bryant	78	77	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-4	12	15.3	13.9	1.39	16.4	15.1	1.30
Bob Sura	72	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.43	-6	10	-16	15.2	14.3	0.96	16.0	16.4	-0.43
Wesley Person	77	78	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.16	12	-8	20	13.9	18.0	-4.05	16.2	15.7	0.56
Donny Marshall	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	11.5	15.1	-3.64	20.9	15.7	5.11
Andrew DeClercq	17	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	7	-10	12.2	15.5	-3.30	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Lari Ketner	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	5	-6	17.5	14.7	2.78	12.7	16.3	-3.63
Danny Ferry	20	19	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.04	-13	17	-30	17.3	14.3	3.00	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Earl Boykins	14	14	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.09	-10	14	-24	22.2	13.8	8.43	15.5	16.2	-0.69

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	29	32	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.12	13	-17	30	16.4	16.0	0.49	16.8	14.1	2.68
Chris Anstey	16	14	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.18	8	-12	20	15.9	16.1	-0.26	22.2	13.8	8.43
Will Perdue	22	23	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.16	8	-12	20	16.8	15.9	0.86	17.9	14.1	3.78
Matt Maloney	29	30	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.08	7	-11	18	16.3	16.0	0.25	16.8	14.2	2.59
Michael Ruffin	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	2	-8	15.6	16.3	-0.75	15.0	14.9	0.05
Chris Carr	51	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-9	14	15.7	16.5	-0.82	15.1	14.7	0.34
Metta World Peace	62	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	9	-22	16.3	15.8	0.53	13.9	16.3	-2.43
Dickey Simpkins	50	50	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.52	-6	2	-8	16.1	16.1	0.04	13.8	16.0	-2.12
Randy Brown	73	73	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.47	-11	7	-18	16.0	16.3	-0.25	14.2	16.8	-2.59
Hersey Hawkins	62	60	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.47	-13	9	-22	16.1	16.1	-0.09	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Elton Brand	86	89	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.56	-12	8	-20	16.1	15.9	0.26	13.8	22.2	-8.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.71,0.84,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.08,0	87.8%
OKC 109, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.28,0.09,0,0	87.6%
HOU 109, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.04,0	87.5%