inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 109 Excitement12.0 [16] MVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): +31.4%
Denver Nuggets 105 Comeback9.4 [94] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -32.6%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Rogers0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.080.00483%0.1300.00450%-0.04
Hakeem Olajuwon0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.06-0.120.16-0.021132%0.091-0.03617%-0.14
Moochie Norris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Bullard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walt Williams-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.03-0.01747%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Maurice Taylor-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.020.02750%-0.0400.0020%-0.02
Cuttino Mobley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.011554%0.002-0.071145%-0.07
Shandon Anderson-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01842%-0.053-0.06367%-0.01
Kenny Thomas-0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.44,-0.44,-0.49,-0.49,-0.3,-0.3-0.04-0.250.011549%-0.182-0.11786%-0.00
Steve Francis-0.330,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.01-0.33-0.011558%-0.253-0.08875%-0.14

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.310.310.050.280.012859%0.463-0.141283%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.001242%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.0020%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.050.00733%-0.071-0.041100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.090.01743%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.001837%-0.121-0.025100%0.06
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.130.01855%-0.061-0.09475%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.2,-0.18-0.180.03-0.170.04973%0.003-0.18475%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.11.827.015.829.01.638.20.218.6154.3
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +10.5%
HOU +1.0%
DEN -1.8%
HOU +33.1%
HOU +7.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUDENNBAHOUDENNBA
this game16.314.915.5107.9101.9100.9
season16.315.2104.6101.4
opponent15.214.9104.1102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU15.418.014.519.013.716.3
DEN15.216.313.216.213.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hakeem Olajuwon56550.93-0.431.370.6111-71815.417.3-1.9015.014.90.15
Kenny Thomas79810.61-0.110.720.388-41215.618.7-3.1014.416.8-2.34
Steve Francis89900.51-0.010.510.3940415.918.6-2.6414.517.9-3.42
Cuttino Mobley69710.370.130.240.3413-216.915.01.8915.314.01.31
Shandon Anderson60620.230.27-0.040.1722015.916.8-0.9614.815.1-0.23
Matt Bullard18180.040.46-0.43-0.0531217.516.01.5116.114.71.36
Moochie Norris12140.010.49-0.480.0104-418.615.92.6417.214.62.64
Walt Williams5251-0.140.64-0.78-0.11-15-616.116.4-0.2914.515.4-0.91
Maurice Taylor2628-0.140.64-0.79-0.03-48-1218.315.52.7616.914.22.69
Carlos Rogers3334-0.410.91-1.32-0.18-812-2017.515.61.9114.515.2-0.69

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Clark14140.11-0.610.720.052-6815.114.90.1618.615.92.69
George McCloud5353-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-5614.715.2-0.5215.517.1-1.69
Mark Strickland1414-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-4413.715.1-1.4114.116.6-2.45
Tariq Abdul-Wahad3837-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-3215.514.60.8617.015.81.21
Robert Pack2523-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-62-815.814.71.0917.016.10.91
Nick Van Exel7978-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.352-6814.616.1-1.5016.117.0-0.91
Voshon Lenard6564-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.37-3-1-214.615.5-0.8615.817.0-1.21
Raef LaFrentz7879-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.26-84-1215.613.02.5516.615.21.38
Antonio McDyess9895-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.44-2-2014.817.8-3.0116.020.7-4.69
James Posey5148-0.580.08-0.66-0.43-51-615.014.90.0617.115.51.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 105, CHI 1010.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.16,089.8%
SEA 97, MIA 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.57,0.59,0.5,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.08,088.9%
POR 112, MEM 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.06,0.09,088.6%