NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	7.5 [317]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): +13.2%
Charlotte Hornets	85		Comeback	3.9 [343]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -24.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	0.00	18	59%	0.19	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.08
Brian Shaw	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.09	0.00	8	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.12	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	17	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Ron Harper	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	11	18%	-0.10	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	14	63%	0.24	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.00	10	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	61%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	20	39%	-0.12	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	8	28%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	0.01	11	42%	-0.10	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	32.2	15.8	25.2	2.5	34.4	135.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +13.5%

LAL +0.9%

LAL +28.6%

CHH -1.4%

LAL +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHH	NBA	LAL	CHH	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	15.2	97.9	91.4	101.7
season	15.3	14.9		105.6	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		99.2	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	14.0	18.7	15.5	16.1
CHH	14.5	13.7	14.0	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	34	33	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-9	25	15.2	16.7	-1.48	15.7	14.0	1.68
Shaquille O'Neal	83	82	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-2	11	16.3	14.7	1.61	15.1	11.4	3.72
Kobe Bryant	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-2	11	15.8	16.9	-1.03	15.1	13.5	1.59
Robert Horry	36	36	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-5	17	13.4	17.9	-4.47	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Rick Fox	24	24	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	1	5	14.9	16.6	-1.71	15.1	14.5	0.59
Glen Rice	71	70	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	6	-5	16.4	15.5	0.83	14.3	15.7	-1.34
A.C. Green	59	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	12	-17	17.7	13.5	4.15	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Travis Knight	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	9	-11	17.1	16.0	1.06	13.0	14.8	-1.82
Ron Harper	40	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.03	-4	11	-15	16.8	15.7	1.13	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Derek Fisher	49	48	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	14	-21	16.7	15.6	1.14	13.4	16.0	-2.67

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	62	62	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	14.2	15.5	-1.31	17.0	14.5	2.50
Brad Miller	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	1	-9	14.6	14.7	-0.12	13.0	17.5	-4.50
Eddie Jones	83	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	14.4	17.0	-2.64	16.6	12.9	3.67
David Wesley	80	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-9	11	14.5	15.5	-0.95	16.5	13.7	2.85
Derrick Coleman	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.37	4	-11	15	14.5	15.2	-0.66	16.7	13.4	3.34
Chucky Brown	37	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	14.6	14.7	-0.08	14.7	17.1	-2.41
Baron Davis	23	23	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	8	-23	16.1	14.2	1.97	13.3	17.1	-3.77
Elden Campbell	73	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	5	-17	15.2	12.6	2.54	16.8	13.6	3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, SEA 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.09,0	92.0%
SAS 87, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.1,0.04,0	91.8%
CLE 99, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	91.7%