inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 107 Excitement10.7 [36] MVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): +15.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves 104 Comeback6.3 [84] LVPTerrell Brandon (MIN): -35.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0.150,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.110.090.051766%0.171-0.011100%0.01
Keon Clark0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01862%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Popeye Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
George McCloud-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02-0.00-0.010.00460%0.041-0.06250%-0.02
Nick Van Exel-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.2,-0.08,-0.39,-0.39,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.07-0.130.03-0.032448%0.447-0.51475%-0.00
Chris Gatling-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00543%-0.032-0.05425%-0.05
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.140.03-0.170.011452%-0.1400.001100%0.00
James Posey-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2-0.09-0.11-0.001035%-0.103-0.1000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.260,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.04-0.210.001248%-0.122-0.14333%-0.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.05-0.00583%0.1300.002100%0.01
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.10.100.050.060.011262%0.141-0.042100%0.06
Malik Sealy0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00586%0.092-0.054100%0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.002100%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.010.01-0.010.030.00944%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00629%-0.0600.002100%0.02
Joe Smith0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.02-0.220.001050%-0.201-0.044100%0.02
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.06-0.230.011660%-0.066-0.238100%0.08
Terrell Brandon0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35-0.35-0.09-0.260.001540%-0.173-0.1800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.42.726.215.425.52.433.11.717.1146.5
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +74.5%
MIN -36.8%
DEN +47.0%
MIN -30.7%
MIN -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game16.913.815.2104.998.1101.7
season14.815.1101.5103.5
opponent15.715.0101.1103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN17.714.816.417.520.816.9
MIN14.313.413.113.914.913.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey87890.85-0.351.190.618-51316.916.40.5314.012.81.21
Keon Clark59560.54-0.040.570.5112-117.116.60.4713.713.9-0.15
Tariq Abdul-Wahad87910.53-0.030.570.337-41117.413.53.8914.012.41.61
Nick Van Exel89920.370.130.250.2830317.016.20.8014.310.43.86
Chris Gatling27290.360.140.210.186-3915.217.4-2.2211.614.6-3.07
Raef LaFrentz59630.120.38-0.250.27-58-1317.116.50.6313.813.80.03
Popeye Jones12120.090.41-0.310.0130313.917.2-3.3313.313.8-0.51
Antonio McDyess6164-0.160.66-0.82-0.10-25-716.816.9-0.0414.812.22.68
George McCloud2934-0.210.71-0.91-0.03-69-1516.417.0-0.6111.414.9-3.45

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wally Szczerbiak36360.37-0.871.250.0511-142512.514.4-1.9416.417.1-0.63
Malik Sealy4848-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-1-114.413.31.1617.316.40.91
Bobby Jackson2121-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-2112.314.2-1.8718.916.32.58
Tom Hammonds4140-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-63-913.014.3-1.2415.617.6-1.98
Kevin Garnett9186-0.23-0.270.03-0.385-81313.912.81.1516.817.1-0.32
Rasho Nesterovic2320-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.08-96-1511.314.5-3.1118.016.61.49
Terrell Brandon8581-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.32-2-1-114.212.31.8716.318.9-2.58
Anthony Peeler6056-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.40-1-2113.114.6-1.5016.717.1-0.43
Sam Mitchell7672-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.32-63-914.511.92.6717.116.20.88
Joe Smith4950-0.610.11-0.72-0.49-41-515.212.62.6417.116.60.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.71,0.76,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.72,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 118, MIN 1170.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.15,088.1%
ORL 112, CHI 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.42,088.0%
MIN 92, CHI 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,087.9%