NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	5.7 [680]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +15.8%
Detroit Pistons	105		Comeback	1.9 [664]		LVP	Christian Laettner (DET): -11.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	19	50%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	13	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	15	56%	0.03	4	-0.11	9	67%	0.01
Mark Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.01	9	86%	0.24	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Montross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	24	50%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	18	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	12	83%	-0.01
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	11	47%	-0.03	4	-0.08	10	90%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.4	15.4	25.6	1.5	40.3	137.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +13.0%

DET +16.4%

DET +20.4%

CLE -0.5%

DET +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.2	101.1	109.4	101.7
season	14.1	14.1		98.0	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.0	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.8	16.9	16.3	12.8	14.6
DET	13.4	16.6	15.0	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	51	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-12	15	16.2	12.7	3.51	16.6	14.3	2.29
Brevin Knight	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-7	5	12.9	15.4	-2.47	12.8	16.8	-3.94
Pete Chilcutt	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-8	7	10.7	14.7	-4.07	20.0	15.4	4.60
Andrew DeClercq	30	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-11	13	16.9	13.5	3.39	17.4	14.6	2.77
Danny Ferry	56	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-11	13	15.1	13.9	1.12	17.4	12.8	4.67
Shawn Kemp	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	1	-11	13.7	16.3	-2.61	14.3	17.8	-3.47
Mark Bryant	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	2	-13	13.9	15.1	-1.24	12.8	17.3	-4.56
Wesley Person	65	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	14.1	15.7	-1.59	15.6	15.3	0.29
Andre Miller	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	15.4	12.9	2.47	16.8	12.8	3.94
Lamond Murray	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	4	-17	13.9	17.0	-3.07	14.7	18.2	-3.46

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	83	82	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.20	25	-16	41	15.4	16.7	-1.33	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Jerry Stackhouse	78	78	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.09	20	-11	31	14.5	20.1	-5.62	14.0	17.6	-3.63
Christian Laettner	86	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-2	13	15.9	12.8	3.06	14.6	14.6	0.01
Terry Mills	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-2	13	13.5	19.1	-5.53	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Jud Buechler	50	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	0	9	15.3	15.8	-0.46	14.3	15.0	-0.75
Michael Curry	57	56	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	12	-15	16.4	14.4	1.99	15.7	13.0	2.69
Jerome Williams	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	14	-19	17.9	13.9	3.97	16.2	13.5	2.66
Eric Montross	4	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	16.2	15.5	0.74	11.0	14.7	-3.69
John Crotty	22	20	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	0.08	-21	30	-51	18.4	14.7	3.72	14.3	14.7	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, LAL 119	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
GSW 99, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.6%
BOS 115, UTA 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.89,1,1	92.5%