NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	99		Excitement	5.9 [601]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): +15.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	1.3 [1237]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -17.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.03	-0.00	-0.04	21	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	14	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Brandon Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.06	0.04	26	47%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	9	20%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	0.01	11	86%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	22	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	17	53%	-0.11
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	29.4	16.0	27.0	2.7	33.5	133.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +48.6%

GSW -10.8%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +7.6%

LAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	13.6	15.6	104.2	108.2	102.5
season	15.6	14.8		92.9	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.0		102.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	18.4	17.8	16.4	13.5	16.5
LAL	15.9	12.2	12.4	14.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	7	7	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-10	14	22.4	16.0	6.45	21.1	13.0	8.15
Todd Fuller	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-2	-2	17.7	16.4	1.35	12.2	13.6	-1.38
David Vaughn	40	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-14	22	14.5	17.9	-3.42	12.9	14.1	-1.29
Felton Spencer	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-6	6	19.1	15.6	3.48	14.0	13.4	0.62
Adonal Foyle	10	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	1	-8	19.3	16.1	3.18	8.3	14.1	-5.78
Brandon Williams	64	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-11	16	15.7	17.9	-2.15	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Erick Dampier	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	15.8	17.5	-1.73	14.0	12.9	1.17
Duane Ferrell	37	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	9	-24	18.6	15.1	3.46	14.3	13.1	1.17
Donyell Marshall	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	2	-10	15.8	18.6	-2.78	13.3	14.4	-1.12
Tony Delk	91	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-6	6	16.2	23.2	-7.10	13.6	14.0	-0.45
Joe Smith	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	3	-12	16.8	15.6	1.15	13.7	13.3	0.41

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	72	70	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-10	26	13.0	15.2	-2.19	17.3	14.0	3.33
Jon Barry	60	59	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-11	28	12.9	14.7	-1.82	17.4	15.0	2.38
Robert Horry	67	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-6	18	13.7	13.4	0.26	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Shaquille O'Neal	69	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-4	14	12.2	16.9	-4.61	16.6	16.2	0.41
Rick Fox	78	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-5	16	14.1	11.3	2.81	17.0	14.1	2.96
Mario Bennett	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	8.0	13.8	-5.76	26.0	16.1	9.86
Elden Campbell	28	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	10	-14	16.9	12.2	4.61	16.2	16.6	-0.41
Kobe Bryant	48	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	17	-28	13.8	13.4	0.38	14.7	18.1	-3.49
Corie Blount	35	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.14	-11	17	-28	13.6	13.6	0.04	15.5	17.0	-1.48
Derek Fisher	25	25	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	16	-26	15.2	13.0	2.19	14.0	17.3	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, SEA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	93.9%
CLE 91, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CHI 93, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%