NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	4.8 [856]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +44.4%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.1 [1213]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -16.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.08	-0.03	15	61%	0.21	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	17	58%	0.11	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	12	46%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	10	38%	-0.10	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	15	41%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.39	0.07	0.02	16	100%	0.44	1	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	11	62%	0.14	4	-0.08	10	60%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.02	0.07	9	83%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	4	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.4	29.3	14.8	26.1	2.4	30.3	128.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.5%

BOS +6.7%

CLE -15.9%

BOS +4.0%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	18.2	14.9	15.4	104.6	118.4	104.1
season	15.5	14.9		102.5	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.2		101.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.4	19.9	18.1	17.5	18.2
BOS	14.5	15.3	14.6	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	19	17	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.12	9	-21	30	17.6	18.4	-0.77	16.5	14.5	1.93
CJ Miles	31	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-19	26	16.8	18.9	-2.09	17.1	13.8	3.22
Luke Walton	23	24	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.17	9	-21	30	18.6	18.0	0.58	16.9	14.2	2.76
Kevin Jones	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-12	12	16.8	18.6	-1.73	17.1	14.3	2.83
Donald Sloan	10	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-8	4	19.2	18.1	1.15	17.9	14.5	3.42
Dion Waiters	63	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.07	-15	3	-18	19.2	15.5	3.71	14.1	17.3	-3.18
Kyrie Irving	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	0	-12	17.7	20.1	-2.40	14.3	17.4	-3.02
Tyler Zeller	64	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	5	-22	18.8	16.4	2.38	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Tristan Thompson	71	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	4	-20	18.2	18.3	-0.16	14.1	18.5	-4.39
Alonzo Gee	64	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.02	-21	9	-30	18.0	18.6	-0.58	14.2	16.9	-2.76

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	60	61	0.76	-0.26	1.02	-0.09	29	-17	46	14.0	16.9	-2.86	19.0	16.3	2.68
Rajon Rondo	67	69	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.02	22	-10	32	14.3	16.9	-2.64	18.4	17.2	1.28
Jason Terry	64	63	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.08	18	-6	24	15.4	13.7	1.72	17.8	19.2	-1.41
Jason Collins	41	43	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.10	23	-11	34	13.5	16.2	-2.62	20.0	16.4	3.64
Brandon Bass	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	9	-6	14.8	15.1	-0.23	16.1	21.0	-4.85
Kevin Garnett	55	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	11	-10	14.7	15.3	-0.62	19.6	15.8	3.81
Jared Sullinger	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	15	-18	17.7	13.7	3.98	16.2	19.1	-2.90
Courtney Lee	37	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	21	-30	15.5	14.5	1.03	18.0	18.3	-0.27
Leandro Barbosa	6	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	19	-26	13.2	15.0	-1.88	20.2	18.0	2.13
Jeff Green	27	26	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.24	-17	29	-46	16.9	14.0	2.86	16.3	19.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.0%
MEM 103, SAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%
GSW 99, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.8%